Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33972421›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2021

The persistence of ancient settlements and urban sustainability.

Michael E Smith, José Lobo, Matthew A Peeples, Abigail M York, Benjamin W Stanley, Katherine A Crawford, Nicolas Gauthier, Angela C Huster

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
25.3field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 75 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Maya Postclassic persistence in the Birds of Paradise Wetland Fields, Belize.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  3. Modeling the rise and demise of Classic Maya cities: Climate, conflict, and economies of scale.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Housing inequality and settlement persistence are associated across the archaeological record.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Mesoamerican urbanism revisited: Environmental change, adaptation, resilience, persistence, and collapse.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Michael E SmithSchool of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287; mesmith9@asu.edu.ORCID 0000-0002-0677-8206
José LoboSchool of Sustainability, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287.
Matthew A PeeplesSchool of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287.ORCID 0000-0003-4496-623X
Abigail M YorkSchool of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287.ORCID 0000-0002-2313-9262
Benjamin W StanleyUniversity City Exchange, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287.ORCID 0000-0003-3559-1499
Katherine A CrawfordSchool of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287.ORCID 0000-0001-7616-6099
Nicolas GauthierLaboratory of Tree-Ring Research, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721.ORCID 0000-0002-2225-5827
Angela C HusterSchool of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287.ORCID 0000-0001-8044-9526
Arizona State University · USUniversity of Arizona · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We propose a dedicated research effort on the determinants of settlement persistence in the ancient world, with the potential to significantly advance the scientific understanding of urban sustainability today. Settlements (cities, towns, villages) are locations with two key attributes: They frame human interactions and activities in space, and they are where people dwell or live. Sustainability, in this case, focuses on the capacity of structures and functions of a settlement system (geography, demography, institutions) to provide for continuity of safe habitation. The 7,000-y-old experience of urbanism, as revealed by archaeology and history, includes many instances of settlements and settlement systems enduring, adapting to, or generating environmental, institutional, and technological changes. The field of urban sustainability lacks a firm scientific foundation for understanding the long durée, relying instead on narratives of collapse informed by limited case studies. We argue for the development of a new interdisciplinary research effort to establish scientific understanding of settlement and settlement system persistence. Such an effort would build upon the many fields that study human settlements to develop new theories and databases from the extensive documentation of ancient and premodern urban systems. A scientific foundation will generate novel insights to advance the field of urban sustainability.

Indexed as

Sustainable GrowthUrbanizationAgricultureArchaeologyCitiesEmigration and ImmigrationEnvironmentGeographyHumansModels, TheoreticalPopulation DynamicsSocioeconomic FactorsUrban PopulationUrban Renewalarchaeologycitiespersistencesustainabilityurbanism

Identifiers

PMID33972421
PMCPMC8157985
OpenAlexW3163741899

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.