Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33972243›Full record

ArticleAntimicrobial agents and chemotherapy2021

A Pragmatic Machine Learning Model To Predict Carbapenem Resistance.

Ryan J McGuire, Sean C Yu, Philip R O Payne, Albert M Lai, M Cristina Vazquez-Guillamet, Marin H Kollef, Andrew P Michelson

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Antimicrobial agents and chemotherapy, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. An explainable machine learning approach to predicting carbapenem resistance inFrontiers in cellular and infection microbiology · 2026
    Article
  7. Optimal antibiotic use in the intensive care unit.Critical care (London, England) · 2025
    Review
  8. Review
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Review
  14. Review
  15. A Review of Converging Technologies in eHealth Pertaining to Artificial Intelligence.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Review
  16. Treatment of Severe Infections Due to Metallo-BetalactamasesAntibiotics (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022
    Review
  17. Timing of antibiotic therapy in the ICU.Critical care (London, England) · 2021
    Review
  18. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Ryan J McGuireDepartment of Internal Medicine, Washington University School of Medicine in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri, USA.
Sean C YuInstitute for Informatics, Washington University School of Medicine in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri, USA.
Philip R O PayneInstitute for Informatics, Washington University School of Medicine in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri, USA.
Albert M LaiInstitute for Informatics, Washington University School of Medicine in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri, USA.
M Cristina Vazquez-GuillametDivision of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Washington University School of Medicine in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri, USA.
Marin H KollefDivision of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Washington University School of Medicine in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri, USA.
Andrew P MichelsonInstitute for Informatics, Washington University School of Medicine in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Infection caused by carbapenem-resistant (CR) organisms is a rising problem in the United States. While the risk factors for antibiotic resistance are well known, there remains a large need for the early identification of antibiotic-resistant infections. Using machine learning (ML), we sought to develop a prediction model for carbapenem resistance. All patients >18 years of age admitted to a tertiary-care academic medical center between 1 January 2012 and 10 October 2017 with ≥1 bacterial culture were eligible for inclusion. All demographic, medication, vital sign, procedure, laboratory, and culture/sensitivity data were extracted from the electronic health record. Organisms were considered CR if a single isolate was reported as intermediate or resistant. Patients with CR and non-CR organisms were temporally matched to maintain the positive/negative case ratio. Extreme gradient boosting was used for model development. In total, 68,472 patients met inclusion criteria, with 1,088 patients identified as having CR organisms. Sixty-seven features were used for predictive modeling. The most important features were number of prior antibiotic days, recent central venous catheter placement, and inpatient surgery. After model training, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.846. The sensitivity of the model was 30%, with a positive predictive value (PPV) of 30% and a negative predictive value of 99%. Using readily available clinical data, we were able to create a ML model capable of predicting CR infections at the time of culture collection with a high PPV.

Indexed as

CarbapenemsMachine LearningHumansPredictive Value of TestsRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentCarbapenemsantibiotic resistancecarbapenemelectronic health recordmachine learningpredictive modeling

Identifiers

PMID33972243
PMCPMC8218615

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.