Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33967393›Full record

ArticleNonlinear dynamics2021

Comparison of an artificial neural network and Gompertz model for predicting the dynamics of deaths from COVID-19 in México.

R A Conde-Gutiérrez, D Colorado, S L Hernández-Bautista

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nonlinear dynamics, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

R A Conde-GutiérrezCentro de Investigación en Recursos Energéticos y Sustentables, Universidad Veracruzana, Av. Universidad Km 7.5, Col. Santa Isabel, Coatzacoalcos CP, 96535 Veracruz, México.ORCID 0000-0001-8230-0098
D ColoradoCentro de Investigación en Recursos Energéticos y Sustentables, Universidad Veracruzana, Av. Universidad Km 7.5, Col. Santa Isabel, Coatzacoalcos CP, 96535 Veracruz, México.
S L Hernández-BautistaFacultad de Ciencias Químicas-Centro de Investigación en Recursos Energéticos y Sustentables, Universidad Veracruzana, Campus Coatzacoalcos, Av. Universidad km. 7.5, Col. Santa Isabel, Coatzacoalcos CP, 96538 Veracruz, México.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The present work is focused on modeling and predicting the cumulative number of deaths from COVID-19 in México by comparing an artificial neural network (ANN) with a Gompertz model applying multiple optimization algorithms for the estimation of coefficients and parameters, respectively. For the modeling process, the data published by the daily technical report COVID-19 in Mexico from March 19th to September 30th were used. The data published in the month of October were included to carry out the prediction. The results show a satisfactory comparison between the real data and those obtained by both models with a R

Indexed as

Artificial neural network modelCOVID-19Dynamic modelsGompertz modelOptimal algorithms

Identifiers

PMID33967393
PMCPMC8090530

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.