ArticleRoyal Society open science2021
SARS-CoV-2 transmission and control in a hospital setting: an individual-based modelling study.
Article in Royal Society open science, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- The prevalence of probable mental health disorders among hospital healthcare workers during COVID-19: A systematic review and meta-analysis.Journal of affective disorders · 2023Pooled it
- Nosocomial transmission clusters and lineage diversity characterized by SARS-CoV-2 genomes from two large hospitals in Paris, France, in 2020.Scientific reports · 2022Trial
- Article
- Contextual Hospital Conditions and the Risk of Nosocomial SARS-CoV-2 Infection: A Matched Case-Control Study with Density Sampling in a Large Portuguese Hospital.Journal of clinical medicine · 2024Article
- Article
- Estimating the risk of incident SARS-CoV-2 infection among healthcare workers in quarantine hospitals: the Egyptian example.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Using simulation modelling and systems science to help contain COVID-19: A systematic review.Systems research and behavioral science · 2022Article
- Numbers of close contacts of individuals infected with SARS-CoV-2 and their association with government intervention strategies.BMC public health · 2021Article
- A multi-scale agent-based model of infectious disease transmission to assess the impact of vaccination and non-pharmaceutical interventions: The COVID-19 case.Journal of safety science and resilience = An quan ke xue yu ren xing (Ying wen) · 2021Article
- Interventions to control nosocomial transmission of SARS-CoV-2: a modelling study.BMC medicine · 2021Article
- An operationally implementable model for predicting the effects of an infectious disease on a comprehensive regional healthcare system.PloS one · 2021Article
- Optimal Reopening Pathways With COVID-19 Vaccine Rollout and Emerging Variants of Concern.Frontiers in public health · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
10 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Development of strategies for mitigating the severity of COVID-19 is now a top public health priority. We sought to assess strategies for mitigating the COVID-19 outbreak in a hospital setting via the use of non-pharmaceutical interventions. We developed an individual-based model for COVID-19 transmission in a hospital setting. We calibrated the model using data of a COVID-19 outbreak in a hospital unit in Wuhan. The calibrated model was used to simulate different intervention scenarios and estimate the impact of different interventions on outbreak size and workday loss. The use of high-efficacy facial masks was shown to be able to reduce infection cases and workday loss by 80% (90% credible interval (CrI): 73.1-85.7%) and 87% (CrI: 80.0-92.5%), respectively. The use of social distancing alone, through reduced contacts between healthcare workers, had a marginal impact on the outbreak. Our results also indicated that a quarantine policy should be coupled with other interventions to achieve its effect. The effectiveness of all these interventions was shown to increase with their early implementation. Our analysis shows that a COVID-19 outbreak in a hospital's non-COVID-19 unit can be controlled or mitigated by the use of existing non-pharmaceutical measures.
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Registered trials
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