Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33956403›Full record

ArticleUnited European gastroenterology journal2021

Divergent trends of hospitalizations for upper and lower gastrointestinal bleeding based on population prescriptions of aspirin, proton pump inhibitors and Helicobacter pylori eradication therapy: Trends of upper and lower gastrointestinal bleeding.

Chuan-Guo Guo, Feifei Zhang, Joseph T Wu, Ka-Shing Cheung, Bofei Li, Simon Y K Law, Wai K Leung

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in United European gastroenterology journal, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.0field-weighted citation impact, top 13% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 19 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. National trends in hospitalizations for gastrointestinal bleeding in Japan.Journal of clinical biochemistry and nutrition · 2024
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Chuan-Guo GuoDepartment of Medicine, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.ORCID 0000-0002-0657-473X
Feifei ZhangUsher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-3718-243X
Joseph T WuSchool of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.ORCID 0000-0002-3155-5987
Ka-Shing CheungDepartment of Medicine, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.ORCID 0000-0002-4838-378X
Bofei LiDivision of Esophageal and Upper Gastrointestinal Surgery, Department of Surgery, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
Simon Y K LawDivision of Esophageal and Upper Gastrointestinal Surgery, Department of Surgery, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.ORCID 0000-0002-6518-5806
Wai K LeungDepartment of Medicine, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.ORCID 0000-0002-5993-1059
University of Hong Kong · HKHKU-Pasteur Research Pole · HKUniversity of Edinburgh · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWith the increasing use of medications that alter the risk of gastrointestinal bleeding (GIB), comprising aspirin, proton pump inhibitors (PPIs), and Helicobacter pylori eradication therapies, the trends of GIB are evolving.

objectiveThe aim of this study is to determine and predict the trends of GIB and to evaluate the effects of population prescriptions of these medications on GIB incidences.

methodsWe retrieved patients hospitalized for GIB in all public hospitals in Hong Kong between 2009 and 2019. Monthly age- and sex-standardized GIB data were fitted and predicted, based on population prescriptions of aspirin, nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs), anticoagulants, other antiplatelet drugs, PPIs, and H. pylori therapies, using autoregressive integrated moving average model for time series analysis.

resultsThe incidence of upper GIB (UGIB) showed a clear declining trend while lower GIB (LGIB) decreased slightly. Older population (>80 years) had the greatest decline in UGIB but was associated with an increase in LGIB. Prescriptions of PPIs and aspirin increased significantly with time. PPIs prescriptions were negatively associated with UGIB incidence (coefficient log(PPIs) -4.58; 95% confidence interval [CI]: -5.69, -3.47). H. pylori eradication in the previous month showed a nonsignificant trend on UGIB (coefficient -0.14; 95% CI: -0.30, 0.02). In contrast, aspirin increased the incidences of UGIB (coefficient 0.06; 95% CI: 0.04, 0.07) and LGIB (coefficient 0.04; 95% CI: 0.03, 0.05). NSAIDs, anticoagulants, and other antiplatelet drugs were not significantly associated with the trend of either UGIB or LGIB. UGIB is predicted to decline continuously but LGIB is projected to rise, particularly with increasing use of aspirin.

conclusionsUGIB incidences were decreasing and had been surpassed by LGIB. Based on population prescriptions of aspirin and PPIs, divergent trends of upper and lower GIB are expected, especially in elderly.

Indexed as

AgedAged, 80 and overAnti-Bacterial AgentsAnticoagulantsAnti-Inflammatory Agents, Non-SteroidalAspirinConfidence IntervalsFemaleGastrointestinal HemorrhageHelicobacter InfectionsHelicobacter pyloriHong KongHospitalizationHumansIncidenceMaleAnti-Bacterial AgentsAnticoagulantsAnti-Inflammatory Agents, Non-SteroidalAspirinPlatelet Aggregation InhibitorsProton Pump Inhibitorsaspirinepidemiologygastrointestinal bleedingproton pump inhibitorstime trend

Identifiers

PMID33956403
PMCPMC8259432
OpenAlexW3157137841

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.