Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33950030›Full record

Trial reportMenopause (New York, N.Y.)2021

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk scores, age, or years since menopause to predict cardiovascular disease in the Women's Health Initiative.

Robert A Wild, Kathleen M Hovey, Christopher Andrews, Jennifer G Robinson, Andrew M Kaunitz, JoAnn E Manson, Carolyn J Crandall, Rachel Paragallo, Chrisandra Shufelt, C Noel Bairey Merz

Open access · greenAbstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Menopause (New York, N.Y.), 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
4.0field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 25 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
  2. Review
  3. Anti-dyslipidemic effects ofFood science & nutrition · 2024
    Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. The effects of biological sex and cardiovascular disease on COVID-19 mortality.American journal of physiology. Heart and circulatory physiology · 2022
    Article
  9. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 9 institutions in 2 countries.

Robert A WildDepartments of Obstetrics/Gynecology, Family and Preventive Medicine, Biostatistics and Epidemiology, Oklahoma University Health Sciences Center, Oklahoma City, OK.
Kathleen M HoveyDepartment of Epidemiology and Environmental Health, University at Buffalo State University of New York, Buffalo, NY.
Christopher AndrewsDepartment of Ophthalmology and Visual Sciences, University of Michigan Medical School, Ann Arbor, MI.
Jennifer G RobinsonDepartments of Epidemiology and Medicine, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA.
Andrew M KaunitzDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Florida College of Medicine-Jacksonville, FL.
JoAnn E MansonDepartment of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA.
Carolyn J CrandallDivision of General Internal Medicine and Health Services Research, David Geffen School of Medicine at University of California, Los Angeles, CA.
Rachel ParagalloDivision of General Obstetrics and Gynecology, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC.
Chrisandra ShufeltBarbra Streisand Women's Heart Center, Smidt Heart Institute, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA.
C Noel Bairey MerzBarbra Streisand Women's Heart Center, Smidt Heart Institute, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA.
OU HealthBrigham and Women's Hospital · USCedars-Sinai Medical Center · USFlorida College · USOctober 6 University · EGUniversity at Buffalo, State University of New York · USUniversity of California, Los Angeles · USUniversity of Iowa · USUniversity of Michigan–Ann Arbor · US

Funding

TO UPDATE THE PERFORMANCE WORK STATEMENT FOR RADX TECH PROJECT NO. 2643 - PATHOGENDX, INC. - PATHOGENDX COVID-19 MICROARRAY CLADE VARIANT DETECTION TE75N92021C00001 · NHLBI · PATHOGENDX · PI PATEL, MILAN · 2021 to 2022
$9.5M
RAPID ACCELERATION OF DIAGNOSTICS (RADX) TECH PROJECT NO. 7453: HIGH VOLUME INJECTION MOLDED SWAB75N92021C00002 · NHLBI · PI SIRIGIRI, RENUKA · 2021 to 2024
$8.4M
RAPID ACCELERATION OF DIAGNOSTICS (RADX) TECH PROJECT #6139: REVOGENE SARS-COV-2 ASSAY75N92021C00003 · NHLBI · PI WOODRICH, TODD · 2021 to 2022
$8.0M
NHLBI NIH HHS 75N92021C00001NHLBI NIH HHS 75N92021C00002NHLBI NIH HHS 75N92021C00003NHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201600001CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201600002CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201600003CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201600004CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201600018C
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo assess the utility of cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk scores compared to age or years since menopause for prediction of CVD events in the WHI clinical trials.

methodsBriefly, in the randomized clinical trial 27,347 postmenopausal women age 50 to 79 years entered from 1993 to 1998. Women with a uterus (16,608) were randomized to receive daily oral conjugated equine estrogen (CEE) (0.625 mg) plus medroxyprogesterone acetate (2.5 mg) (5.7 years or placebo), while women with a hysterectomy (10,739) were randomized to receive daily oral CEE (0.625 mg) alone or placebo (7.2 y). CVD risk scores were assessed at baseline and CVD events were adjudicated throughout the follow-up period to the end of the main study phase and to the end of cumulative follow-up. The median follow-up time after the start of the randomized clinical trial to the end of the main study phase was 8.2 years. The median follow-up time to the end of cumulative follow-up was 17.6 years. We compared The American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology (AHA/ACC) and Framingham Heart Study risk scores to age or years since menopause all obtained at baseline to predict subsequent CVD events. The absolute event rates, hazard ratios, and C-statistics (Uno Concordance from Cox proportional models) were compared.

resultsOverall, the hazard ratios for CVD events were highest with calculated CVD scores calculated at trial onset both at the end of the main study (ranging from 2.02 to 10.8 for Q2-Q5, compared to Q1) and at cumulative follow-up (ranging from 1.76 to 8.86 for Q2-Q5, compared to Q1). While older age and years since menopause at baseline were also associated with higher CVD event rates, better risk prediction was accomplished by using CVD risk scores. The Framingham Heart Study BMI score had the highest C-statistic at the end of the main study (0.711) and after 17.6 years through the end of follow-up (0.689).

conclusionsCVD risk scores can help identify postmenopausal women at higher risk for CVD beyond age or time since menopause. Risk scoring that better estimates vascular aging may facilitate CVD risk prevention. When performed prior to initiation of menopausal hormone therapy, scores can better inform HT risk/benefit discussions.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular DiseasesAgedEstrogen Replacement TherapyEstrogens, Conjugated (USP)FemaleHumansMenopauseMiddle AgedPostmenopauseRisk FactorsWomen's HealthEstrogens, Conjugated (USP)

Identifiers

PMID33950030
PMCPMC8141005
OpenAlexW3157466664

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.