Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33947661›Full record

ArticleBMJ (Clinical research ed.)2021

Risk of colorectal cancer in first degree relatives of patients with colorectal polyps: nationwide case-control study in Sweden.

Mingyang Song, Louise Emilsson, Bjorn Roelstraete, Jonas F Ludvigsson

Registry-linked trialOpen access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ (Clinical research ed.), 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT06242197 (Comparing the Effectiveness of Written Advice VS. Standard Verbal Advice in Transferring Knowledge to First Degree Relatives of Colorectal Cancer Patients), which is not on this map. Cited by 35 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
35citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
4.6field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT06242197 nacompletednot on this mapstarted 2022, after this paper: background citation

Comparing the Effectiveness of Written Advice VS. Standard Verbal Advice in Transferring Knowledge to First Degree Relatives of Colorectal Cancer Patients

TypeinterventionalSponsorRamathibodi HospitalRan2022 to 2024Enrolled180ConditionsColorectal CancerArmswritten advice
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

35 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 68 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Guideline
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Review
  7. Observational
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Observational
  11. Article
  12. Epidemiology of colorectal cancer: A review with special emphasis on India.Indian journal of gastroenterology : official journal of the Indian Society of Gastroenterology · 2025
    Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Chemopreventive strategies for sporadic colorectal cancer: a narrative review.Translational gastroenterology and hepatology · 2025
    Review
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Review
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 4 institutions in 4 countries.

Mingyang SongDepartments of Epidemiology and Nutrition, Harvard T H Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
Louise EmilssonDepartment of General Medicine, Institute of Health and Society, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.
Bjorn RoelstraeteDepartment of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institute, 171 77 Stockholm, Sweden.
Jonas F LudvigssonDepartment of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institute, 171 77 Stockholm, Sweden jonas.ludvigsson@ki.se.ORCID 0000-0003-1024-5602
Harvard University · USKarolinska Institutet · SEUniversity of Nottingham · GBUniversity of Oslo · NO

Funding

Marine Omega-3 Polyunsaturated Fatty Acid, Gut Microbiome, and Colorectal Cancer PreventionK99CA215314 · NCI · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI SONG, MINGYANG · 2018 to 2018
$179k
NCI NIH HHS K99 CA215314
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo assess the risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) in first degree relatives (parents and full siblings) of patients with precursor lesions (polyps) for CRC.

designCase-control study.

settingLinkage to the multi-generation register and gastrointestinal ESPRESSO (Epidemiology Strengthened by histoPathology Reports in Sweden) histopathology cohort in Sweden.

participants68 060 patients with CRC and 333 753 matched controls.

main outcome measuresMultivariable adjusted odds ratios of CRC according to the number of first degree relatives with a colorectal polyp and the histology of polyps and age at diagnosis in first degree relatives. Subgroup analysis was also performed according to age at CRC diagnosis and evaluated the joint association of family history of colorectal polyps and family history of CRC.

resultsAfter adjusting for family history of CRC and other covariates, having a first degree relative with a colorectal polyp (8.4% (5742/68 060) in cases and 5.7% (18 860/333 753) in controls) was associated with a higher risk of CRC (odds ratio 1.40, 95% confidence interval 1.35 to 1.45). The odds ratios ranged from 1.23 for those with hyperplastic polyps to 1.44 for those with tubulovillous adenomas. To better put this risk in perspective, the age specific absolute risk of colon and rectal cancers was estimated according to family history of polyps based on the 2018 national CRC incidence in Sweden. For example, the absolute risk of colon cancer in individuals aged 60-64 years with and without a family history of colorectal polyp was, respectively, 94.3 and 67.9 per 100 000 for men and 89.1 and 64.1 per 100 000 for women. The association between family history of polyps and CRC risk was strengthened by the increasing number of first degree relatives with polyps (≥2 first degree relatives: 1.70, 1.52 to 1.90, P<0.001 for trend) and decreasing age at polyp diagnosis (<50 years: 1.77, 1.57 to 1.99, P<0.001 for trend). A particularly strong association was found for early onset CRC diagnosed before age 50 years (≥2 first degree relatives: 3.34, 2.05 to 5.43, P=0.002 for heterogeneity by age of CRC diagnosis). In the joint analysis, the odds ratio of CRC for individuals with two or more first degree relatives with polyps but no CRC was 1.79 (1.52 to 2.10), with one first degree relative with CRC but no polyps was 1.70 (1.65 to 1.76), and with two or more first degree relatives with both polyps and CRC was 5.00 (3.77 to 6.63) (P<0.001 for interaction).

conclusionsAfter adjusting for family history of CRC, the siblings and children of patients with colorectal polyps are still at higher risk of CRC, particularly early onset CRC. Early screening for CRC might be considered for first degree relatives of patients with polyps.

Indexed as

Medical History TakingAdult ChildrenAgedAge of OnsetCase-Control StudiesColonColonic PolypsColorectal NeoplasmsFemaleHumansMaleMass ScreeningMiddle AgedPrecancerous ConditionsRectumRegistries

Identifiers

PMID33947661
PMCPMC8083372
OpenAlexW3159756169

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.