Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33942500›Full record

ArticleInfluenza and other respiratory viruses2021

Changes in characteristics and case-severity in patients hospitalised with influenza A (H1N1) pdm09 infection between two epidemic waves-England, 2009-2010.

Ian D Plumb, Ross Harris, Helen K Green, Joanna Ellis, Kathy Baisley, Richard G Pebody

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Article in Influenza and other respiratory viruses, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

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1 · What the graph read from it

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3 · Its place in the literature

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1 citing paper in PubMed.

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Ian D PlumbPublic Health England, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-4747-381X
Ross HarrisPublic Health England, London, UK.
Helen K GreenPublic Health England, London, UK.
Joanna EllisPublic Health England, London, UK.
Kathy BaisleyLondon School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Richard G PebodyPublic Health England, London, UK.

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/R010161/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDuring 2009-2010, pandemic influenza A (H1N1) pdm09 virus (pH1N1) infections in England occurred in two epidemic waves. Reasons for a reported increase in case-severity during the second wave are unclear.

methodsWe analysed hospital-based surveillance for patients with pH1N1 infections in England during 2009-2010 and linked national data sets to estimate ethnicity, socio-economic status and death within 28 days of admission. We used multivariable logistic regression to assess whether changes in demographic, clinical and management characteristics of patients could explain an increase in ICU admission or death, and accounted for missing values using multiple imputation.

resultsDuring the first wave, 54/960 (6%) hospitalised patients required intensive care and 21/960 (2%) died; during the second wave 143/1420 (10%) required intensive care and 55/1420 (4%) died. In a multivariable model, during the second wave patients were less likely to be from an ethnic minority (OR 0.33, 95% CI 0.26-0.42), have an elevated deprivation score (OR 0.75, 95% CI 0.68-0.83), have known comorbidity (OR 0.78, 95% CI 0.63-0.97) or receive antiviral therapy ≤2 days before onset (OR 0.72, 95% CI 0.56-0.92). Increased case-severity during the second wave was not explained by changes in demographic, clinical or management characteristics.

conclusionsMonitoring changes in patient characteristics could help target interventions during multiple waves of COVID-19 or a future influenza pandemic. To understand and respond to changes in case-severity, surveillance is needed that includes additional factors such as admission thresholds and seasonal coinfections.

Indexed as

EpidemicsInfluenza A Virus, H1N1 SubtypeInfluenza, HumanAdolescentAdultEnglandEthnicityFemaleHistory, 21st CenturyHospitalizationHumansMaleMiddle AgedMinority GroupsYoung Adultcomorbidityhospitalisationinfluenza A viruspandemicsrisk factorssocio-economic factors

Identifiers

PMID33942500
PMCPMC8404053

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