Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33942171›Full record

ArticleJournal of mathematical biology2021

Geometric singular perturbation theory analysis of an epidemic model with spontaneous human behavioral change.

Stephen Schecter

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of mathematical biology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
0.6field-weighted citation impact, top 32% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 3 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Faster Uptake, Slower Let-Down: Asymmetric Community Responses to Changing Risks During a Pandemic.Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Discrete epidemic models with two time scales.Advances in difference equations · 2021
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

1 author at 1 institution in 1 country.

Stephen SchecterDepartment of Mathematics, North Carolina State University, Box 8205, Raleigh, NC, 27695, USA. schecter@ncsu.edu.ORCID 0000-0002-6676-3858
North Carolina State University · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We consider a model due to Piero Poletti and collaborators that adds spontaneous human behavioral change to the standard SIR epidemic model. In its simplest form, the Poletti model adds one differential equation, motivated by evolutionary game theory, to the SIR model. The new equation describes the evolution of a variable x that represents the fraction of the population following normal behavior. The remaining fraction [Formula: see text] uses altered behavior such as staying home, social isolation, mask wearing, etc. Normal behavior offers a higher payoff when the number of infectives is low; altered behavior offers a higher payoff when the number is high. We show that the entry-exit function of geometric singular perturbation theory can be used to analyze the model in the limit in which behavior changes on a much faster time scale than that of the epidemic. In particular, behavior does not change as soon as a different behavior has a higher payoff; current behavior is sticky. The delay until behavior changes is predicted by the entry-exit function.

Indexed as

BehaviorBiological EvolutionEpidemicsModels, BiologicalGame TheoryHumansEntry–exit functionEpidemiological modelingEvolutionary game theoryGeometric singular perturbation theoryImitation dynamics

Identifiers

PMID33942171
PMCPMC8092374
OpenAlexW3035538194

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.