Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33941286›Full record

ArticleTropical diseases, travel medicine and vaccines2021

The impact of social distancing on COVID-19 infections and deaths.

André de Souza Melo, Ana Iza Gomes da Penha Sobral, Marcelo Luiz Monteiro Marinho, Gisleia Benini Duarte, Amanda Aires Vieira, Marcos Felipe Falcão Sobral

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Tropical diseases, travel medicine and vaccines, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Changes in the national prevalence of asthma and coronavirus disease 2019 fatality: A population-based cross-sectional study.Annals of allergy, asthma & immunology : official publication of the American College of Allergy, Asthma, & Immunology · 2023
    Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. COVID-19 Patterns in Araraquara, Brazil: A Multimodal Analysis.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Impact of the first wave of COVID-19 pandemic on the Hungarian university students' social and health behaviour.Zeitschrift fur Gesundheitswissenschaften = Journal of public health · 2021
    Article
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

André de Souza MeloDepartamento de Economia, Federal Rural University of Pernambuco, Avenida Dom Manoel de Medeiros, s/n - Dois Irmãos, Recife, PE, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8398-4070
Ana Iza Gomes da Penha SobralDepartamento de Psicologia Cognitiva, Federal University of Pernambuco, Av. Prof. Moraes Rego, 1235 - Cidade Universitária, Recife, PE, 50670-901, Brazil.
Marcelo Luiz Monteiro MarinhoDepartamento de Economia, Federal Rural University of Pernambuco, Avenida Dom Manoel de Medeiros, s/n - Dois Irmãos, Recife, PE, Brazil.
Gisleia Benini DuarteDepartamento de Economia, Federal Rural University of Pernambuco, Avenida Dom Manoel de Medeiros, s/n - Dois Irmãos, Recife, PE, Brazil.
Amanda Aires VieiraFaculdade Boa Viagem, R. Jean Emile Favre, 422 - Ipsep, Recife, PE, 51190-450, Brazil.
Marcos Felipe Falcão SobralDepartamento de Economia, Federal Rural University of Pernambuco, Avenida Dom Manoel de Medeiros, s/n - Dois Irmãos, Recife, PE, Brazil. marcos.sobral@ufrpe.br.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTo assess the impact of the social isolation index on the number of infections and deaths by COVID-19 in the state of São Paulo (Brazil).

methodsDaily isolation data, obtained through geolocation information by mobile phone, were evaluated together with the number of daily infections and deaths by COVID-19 in the state of São Paulo. The study was conducted from February 26 to May 19, 2020. The data were modeled through the vector autoregression (VAR) model.

resultsThe isolation index has an effect of approximately 5% in variation in the number of infections, and 7% in the number of deaths. The impulse response function (IRF) caused a drop of 0.15% in the number of new cases/day, and 0.17% in the number of deaths/day following a shock in the isolation index. For both cases, this effect occurred 1 day after the shock and stabilized after 10 periods. An increase of 1% in the isolation index led to a reduction of 6.91% in new cases and 6.90% in the number of deaths. The 30 cumulative day reduction reached 22.72% in terms of transmission and 35.39% for deaths.

conclusionsThe social isolation index is related to deaths and infections from SARS-CoV-2. Although distancing measures are accompanied with impacts on the economy and the emergence of other morbidities, the benefits caused by the reduction in the speed of contagion are significant. The adoption of distancing measures has a substantial impact on the number of infected individuals and deaths by COVID-19.

Indexed as

COVID-19QuarantineSARS-CoV-2Social isolation

Identifiers

PMID33941286
PMCPMC8093001

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.