Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33933585›Full record

ArticleOsteoarthritis and cartilage2021

Triggers for acute flare in adults with, or at risk of, knee osteoarthritis: a web-based case-crossover study in community-dwelling adults.

M J Thomas, T Rathod-Mistry, E L Parry, C Pope, T Neogi, G Peat

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Osteoarthritis and cartilage, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
3.5field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 23 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Trial
  2. Trial
  3. Climate Change and Air Pollution-Related Health Effects on Pain.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2025
    Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Observational
  7. Article
  8. Assessment of Pain in Osteoarthritis of the Knee.Journal of personalized medicine · 2023
    Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Osteoarthritis Flares.Clinics in geriatric medicine · 2022
    Review
  13. Article
  14. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

M J ThomasPrimary Care Centre Versus Arthritis, School of Medicine, Keele University, Staffordshire, ST5 5BG, UK; Haywood Academic Rheumatology Centre, Midlands Partnership NHS Foundation Trust, Haywood Hospital, Burslem, Staffordshire, ST6 7AG, UK. Electronic address: m.thomas@keele.ac.uk.
T Rathod-MistryPrimary Care Centre Versus Arthritis, School of Medicine, Keele University, Staffordshire, ST5 5BG, UK; Keele Clinical Trials Unit, David Weatherall Building, Keele University, Staffordshire, ST5 5BG, UK. Electronic address: t.rathod@keele.ac.uk.
E L ParryPrimary Care Centre Versus Arthritis, School of Medicine, Keele University, Staffordshire, ST5 5BG, UK. Electronic address: e.parry@keele.ac.uk.
C PopePrimary Care Centre Versus Arthritis, School of Medicine, Keele University, Staffordshire, ST5 5BG, UK. Electronic address: ppi.primarycare@keele.ac.uk.
T NeogiDepartment of Medicine, Section of Rheumatology, Boston University School of Medicine, 650 Albany Street, Suite X-200, Boston, 02118, MA, USA. Electronic address: tneogi@bu.edu.
G PeatPrimary Care Centre Versus Arthritis, School of Medicine, Keele University, Staffordshire, ST5 5BG, UK. Electronic address: g.m.peat@keele.ac.uk.
Keele University · GBVersus Arthritis · GBBoston University · US

Funding

Research and Evaluation Support Core Unit (RESCU Core)P30AR072571 · NIAMS · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI TUHINA NEOGI · 2019 to 2026
$6.9M
Department of Health ICA-CL-2016-02-014NIAMS NIH HHS P30 AR072571
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo identify proximate causes ('triggers') of flares in adults with, or at risk of, knee osteoarthritis (OA), estimate their course and consequences, and determine higher risk individuals.

methodsIn this 13-week web-based case-crossover study adults aged ≥40 years, with or without a recorded diagnosis of knee OA, and no inflammatory arthropathy who self-reported a knee flare completed a questionnaire capturing information on exposure to 21 putative activity-related, psychosocial and environmental triggers (hazard period, ≤72 h prior). Comparisons were made with identical exposure measurements at four 4-weekly scheduled time points (non-flare control period) using conditional logistic regression. Flare was defined as a sudden onset of worsening signs and symptoms, sustained for ≥24 h. Flare characteristics, course and consequence were analysed descriptively. Associations between flare frequency and baseline characteristics were estimated using Poisson regression.

resultsOf 744 recruited participants (mean age [SD] 62.1 [10.2] years; 61% female), 376 reported 568 flares (hazards) and provided 867 valid control period measurements. Thirteen exposures (eight activity-related, five psychosocial/environmental) were positively associated with flare onset within 24 h (strongest odds ratio estimate, knee buckling: 9.06: 95% confidence interval [CI] 5.86, 13.99; weakest, cold/damp weather: 1.45: 95%CI 1.12, 1.87). Median flare duration was 5 days (IQR 3, 8), less common if older (incident rate ratio [IRR] 0.98: 95%CI 0.97, 0.99), more common if female (IRR 1.85: 95%CI 1.43, 2.39).

conclusionsMultiple activity-related, psychosocial and environmental exposures are implicated in triggering flares. This evidence can help inform prevention and acute symptom management for patients and clinicians.

Indexed as

Symptom Flare UpAgedCross-Over StudiesExerciseFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedOsteoarthritis, KneeSex FactorsSurveys and QuestionnairesCase-crossoverFlareKneeOsteoarthritisWeb-based

Identifiers

PMID33933585
PMCPMC8239447
OpenAlexW3158045605

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.