Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33933011›Full record

ArticleBMC pregnancy and childbirth2021

Impact of high-risk fertility behaviours on underfive mortality in Asia and Africa: evidence from Demographic and Health Surveys.

Rafi Amir-Ud-Din, Lubna Naz, Aneela Rubi, Muhammad Usman, Umesh Ghimire

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC pregnancy and childbirth, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 33 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
33citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

33 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Rafi Amir-Ud-DinDepartment of Economics, COMSATS University Islamabad, Lahore Campus, Lahore, Pakistan.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4100-3382
Lubna NazDepartment of Economics, Karachi University, Karachi, Pakistan.
Aneela RubiResearch Scholar, Department of Economics, COMSATS University Islamabad, Lahore, Pakistan.
Muhammad UsmanDepartment of Management Sciences, COMSATS University, Islamabad, Lahore Campus, Lahore, Pakistan.
Umesh GhimireNew ERA, Kalopul, Rudramati Marga, Kathmandu, 44600, Bagmati, Nepal. creationumesh@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4246-8379

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMaternal age < 18 or > 34 years, short inter-pregnancy birth interval, and higher birth order are considered to be high-risk fertility behaviours (HRFB). Underfive mortality being disproportionately concentrated in Asia and Africa, this study analyses the association between HRFB and underfive mortality in selected Asian and African countries.

methodsThis study used Integrated Public Microdata Series-Demographic and Health Surveys (IPUMS-DHS) data from 32 countries in sub-Saharan Africa, Middle East, North Africa and South Asia from 1986 to 2017 (N = 1,467,728). Previous evidence hints at four markers of HRFB: women's age at birth of index child < 18 or > 34 years, preceding birth interval < 24 months and child's birth order > 3. Using logistic regression, we analysed change in the odds of underfive mortality as a result of i) exposure to HRFB individually, ii) exposure to any single HRFB risk factor, iii) exposure to multiple HRFB risk factors, and iv) exposure to specific combinations of HRFB risk factors.

resultsMother's age at birth of index child < 18 years and preceding birth interval (PBI) < 24 months were significant risk factors of underfive mortality, while a child's birth order > 3 was a protective factor. Presence of any single HRFB was associated with 7% higher risk of underfive mortality (OR 1.07; 95% CI 1.04-1.09). Presence of multiple HRFBs was associated with 39% higher risk of underfive mortality (OR 1.39; 95% CI 1.36-1.43). Some specific combinations of HRFB such as maternal age < 18 years and preceding birth interval < 24 month significantly increased the odds of underfive mortality (OR 2.07; 95% CI 1.88-2.28).

conclusionMaternal age < 18 years and short preceding birth interval significantly increase the risk of underfive mortality. This highlights the need for an effective legislation to curb child marriages and increased public investment in reproductive healthcare with a focus on higher contraceptive use for optimal birth spacing.

Indexed as

Birth OrderFertilityMaternal AgeAdolescentAdultAfricaAsiaBirth IntervalsChild, PreschoolDeveloping CountriesFemaleHumansInfantInfant MortalityInfant, NewbornLogistic ModelsBirth spacing and birth orderDemographic and health surveyHigh-risk fertility behavioursUnderfive mortalitywomen’s age at childbirth

Identifiers

PMID33933011
PMCPMC8088561

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.