Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33931453›Full record

ArticleScience advances2021

Rapid postglacial rebound amplifies global sea level rise following West Antarctic Ice Sheet collapse.

Linda Pan, Evelyn M Powell, Konstantin Latychev, Jerry X Mitrovica, Jessica R Creveling, Natalya Gomez, Mark J Hoggard, Peter U Clark

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science advances, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
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  4. Synchronous retreat of Thwaites and Pine Island glaciers in response to external forcings in the presatellite era.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Dislocation theory of steady and transient creep of crystalline solids: Predictions for olivine.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Linda PanDepartment of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA. lindapan@g.harvard.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0247-4309
Evelyn M PowellDepartment of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7661-5878
Konstantin LatychevDepartment of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA.
Jerry X MitrovicaDepartment of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA.
Jessica R CrevelingCollege of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR 97331, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8890-9440
Natalya GomezDepartment of Earth and Planetary Sciences, McGill University, Montreal, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2463-7917
Mark J HoggardDepartment of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4310-3862
Peter U ClarkCollege of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR 97331, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4752-6045

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Geodetic, seismic, and geological evidence indicates that West Antarctica is underlain by low-viscosity shallow mantle. Thus, as marine-based sectors of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) retreated during past interglacials, or will retreat in the future, exposed bedrock will rebound rapidly and flux meltwater out into the open ocean. Previous studies have suggested that this contribution to global mean sea level (GMSL) rise is small and occurs slowly. We challenge this notion using sea level predictions that incorporate both the outflux mechanism and complex three-dimensional viscoelastic mantle structure. In the case of the last interglacial, where the GMSL contribution from WAIS collapse is often cited as ~3 to 4 meters, the outflux mechanism contributes ~1 meter of additional GMSL change within ~1 thousand years of the collapse. Using a projection of future WAIS collapse, we also demonstrate that the outflux can substantially amplify GMSL rise estimates over the next century.

Identifiers

PMID33931453
PMCPMC8087405

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.