ArticleThe Lancet regional health. Europe2021
Estimating the impact of achieving Turkey's non-communicable disease policy targets: A macro-simulation modelling study.
Article in The Lancet regional health. Europe, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Use of Preventable Risk Integrated Model on behavioral risk factors: a scoping review and bibliometric analysis.Frontiers in nutrition · 2025Pooled it
- Burden of gallbladder and biliary tract cancer (GBTC) in the middle east and North Africa (MENA) from 1990 to 2021: from the global burden of disease (GBD).Annals of medicine and surgery (2012) · 2026Article
- Potential impact of increasing physical activity on NCD mortality in the EU: pathways to SDG 3.4.1 by 2030.BMJ global health · 2026Article
- Salt Intake Among the Iranian Population and Public Attitudes Toward Salt Consumption: National and Subnational Report From STEPS 2021.Food science & nutrition · 2026Article
- Prevalence of non-communicable diseases and duration of breastfeeding in children under 14 years of age: a nationwide community-based cross-sectional study.European journal of pediatrics · 2025Article
- Burden of Ischemic Heart Disease and Its Attributable Risk Factors in North Africa and the Middle East, 1990 to 2019: Results From the GBD Study 2019.Journal of the American Heart Association · 2024Article
- Article
- Estimating the dietary and health impact of implementing front-of-pack nutrition labeling in Canada: A macrosimulation modeling study.Frontiers in nutrition · 2023Article
- Bridging the "Know-Do" Gaps in Five Non-Communicable Diseases Using a Common Framework Driven by Implementation Science.Journal of healthcare leadership · 2023Review
- Evaluating the role of salt intake in achieving WHO NCD targets in the Eurasian Economic Union: A PRIME modeling study.PloS one · 2023Article
- Unleashing implementation research to accelerate national noncommunicable disease responses.Globalization and health · 2022Article
- Noncommunicable disease control: Clinicians and health policy makers.The Lancet regional health. Europe · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
8 authors.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundThe Burden of non-communicable disease (NCDs) has continued to rise globally, particularly in low- and middle-income countries. In Turkey, NCDs account for 89% of all deaths, with nearly one in five deaths occurring before age 70. This study investigates the number of NCD deaths that could be prevented if Turkey met national and international targets for major modifiable NCD risk factors.
methodsPreventable deaths were estimated using the World Health Organization (WHO) '
findingsIf Turkey met its NCD risk factor targets for reducing tobacco and salt consumption by 30%, and physical inactivity by 10% in 2017, an estimated 19,859 deaths (95%CI: 12,802 to 26,609) could have been prevented. Approximately two thirds of these preventable deaths were in men, and one in three were in adults below 75 years. A 30% relative reduction in the consumption of alcohol, tobacco, and salt, as well as physical inactivity, would prevent 180 (107 to 259); 4,786 (3,679 to 5,836); 13,112 (5,819 to 19,952); and 7,124 (5,053 to 9,212) deaths, respectively.
interpretationAmong major modifiable NCD risk factors, population-level reductions in salt intake and physical inactivity present the greatest opportunity for reducing NCD mortality in Turkey. These findings can help Turkey prioritise interventions to meet the Sustainable Development Goal target of reducing NCD mortality by one third, by 2030.
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