ArticleNature communications2021
Stochastic models support rapid peopling of Late Pleistocene Sahul.
Article in Nature communications, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.
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Who cites it
15 citing papers in PubMed.
- Geographic barrier contributed to the diversity of maternal and paternal lineages in New Guinea Island.Human genetics · 2026Article
- Large estimated size of the Australian Indigenous population before its extensive decline following colonial invasion.Nature human behaviour · 2026Article
- Stochastic models indicate rapid smallpox spread and mass mortality of Indigenous Australians after colonial exposure.Nature human behaviour · 2026Article
- Genomic evidence supports the "long chronology" for the peopling of Sahul.Science advances · 2025Article
- A High-Resolution Genomic Study of the Pama-Nyungan Speaking Yolngu People of Northeast Arnhem Land, Australia.American journal of biological anthropology · 2025Article
- Abrupt onset of intensive human occupation 44,000 years ago on the threshold of Sahul.Nature communications · 2024Article
- Environmental conditions associated with initial northern expansion of anatomically modern humans.Nature communications · 2024Article
- Demographic models predict end-Pleistocene arrival and rapid expansion of pre-agropastoralist humans in Cyprus.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024Article
- Physiography, foraging mobility, and the first peopling of Sahul.Nature communications · 2024Article
- Early human occupation of Australia's eastern seaboard.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Chronology of natural selection in Oceanian genomes.iScience · 2022Article
- Genetics and Material Culture Support Repeated Expansions into Paleolithic Eurasia from a Population Hub Out of Africa.Genome biology and evolution · 2022Article
- Papua New Guinean Genomes Reveal the Complex Settlement of North Sahul.Molecular biology and evolution · 2021Article
- The Perils of Being Populous: Control and Conservation of Abundant Kangaroo Species.Animals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2021Review
- Stochastic models support rapid peopling of Late Pleistocene Sahul.Nature communications · 2021Article
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Authors and funding
19 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
The peopling of Sahul (the combined continent of Australia and New Guinea) represents the earliest continental migration and settlement event of solely anatomically modern humans, but its patterns and ecological drivers remain largely conceptual in the current literature. We present an advanced stochastic-ecological model to test the relative support for scenarios describing where and when the first humans entered Sahul, and their most probable routes of early settlement. The model supports a dominant entry via the northwest Sahul Shelf first, potentially followed by a second entry through New Guinea, with initial entry most consistent with 50,000 or 75,000 years ago based on comparison with bias-corrected archaeological map layers. The model's emergent properties predict that peopling of the entire continent occurred rapidly across all ecological environments within 156-208 human generations (4368-5599 years) and at a plausible rate of 0.71-0.92 km year
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