Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33925185›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2021

The Economic Impact of the SARS-COV-2 (COVID-19) Pandemic in Spain.

Jaime Pinilla, Patricia Barber, Laura Vallejo-Torres, Silvia Rodríguez-Mireles, Beatriz G López-Valcárcel, Luis Serra-Majem

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
13.6field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 52 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Vaccines · 2025
    Review
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  12. Observational
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  14. The Economic Impact of the SARS Epidemic with Related Interventions in China.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Jaime PinillaDepartment of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Management, University of Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, 35017 Las Palmas, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-7126-4236
Patricia BarberDepartment of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Management, University of Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, 35017 Las Palmas, Spain.ORCID 0000-0001-8904-8358
Laura Vallejo-TorresDepartment of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Management, University of Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, 35017 Las Palmas, Spain.
Silvia Rodríguez-MirelesCanary Health Service, Hospital Universitario de Gran Canaria Dr. Negrín, 35010 Las Palmas, Spain.
Beatriz G López-ValcárcelDepartment of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Management, University of Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, 35017 Las Palmas, Spain.
Luis Serra-MajemResearch Institute of Biomedical and Health Sciences (IUIBS), University of Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, 35016 Las Palmas, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-9658-9061
Universidad de Las Palmas de Gran Canaria · ESHospital Universitario de Gran Canaria Doctor Negrín · ES

Funding

Research Project COVID-19 of the University of Las Palmas de Gran Canaria (ULPGC) COVID 19-01
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe COVID-19 pandemic has hit both the Spanish economy and the population's health hard. The result is an unprecedented economic and social crisis due to uncertainty about the remedy and the socioeconomic effects on people's lives.

methodsWe performed a retrospective analysis of the macroeconomic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 using key indicators of the Spanish economy for the 17 Autonomous Communities (ACs) of the country. National statistics were examined in the search for impacts or anomalies occurring since the beginning of the pandemic. To estimate the strength of the impact on each of the indicators analyzed, we used Bayesian structural time series. We also calculated the correlation between the rate of GDP decline during 2020 and the cumulative incidence of COVID-19 cases per 100,000 inhabitants in the ACs.

resultsIn 2020, the cumulative impact on the gross domestic product was of -11.41% (95% credible interval: -13.46; -9.29). The indicator for business turnover changed by -9.37% (-12.71; -6.07). The Spanish employment market was strongly affected; our estimates showed a cumulative increase of 11.9% (4.27; 19.45) in the rate of unemployment during 2020. The worst indicators were recorded in the ACs most economically dependent on the services sector. There was no statistical association between the incidence of COVID-19 in 2020 and the fall in GDP in the ACs.

conclusionsOur estimates portray a dramatic situation in Spain, where the COVID-19 crisis has had more serious economic and health consequences than in other European countries. The productive system in Spain is too dependent on sectors vulnerable to the pandemic, and it is necessary to design and implement profound changes through the European Next Generation program.

Indexed as

COVID-19PandemicsBayes TheoremEuropeHumansRetrospective StudiesSARS-CoV-2SpainBayesian structural time seriesCOVID-19economic impactSpainuncertainty

Identifiers

PMID33925185
PMCPMC8124348
OpenAlexW3139062435

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.