Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33915272›Full record

ArticleJournal of biomedical informatics2021

Comparative study of machine learning methods for COVID-19 transmission forecasting.

Abdelkader Dairi, Fouzi Harrou, Abdelhafid Zeroual, Mohamad Mazen Hittawe, Ying Sun

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of biomedical informatics, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 48 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
48citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

48 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  13. Dynamic hierarchical state space forecasting.Statistics in medicine · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Abdelkader DairiUniversity of Science and Technology of Oran-Mohamed Boudiaf (USTO-MB), Computer Science department Signal, Image and Speech Laboratory (SIMPA) Laboratory, El Mnaouar, BP 1505, Bir El Djir 31000, Oran, Algeria. Electronic address: dairi.aek@gmail.com.
Fouzi HarrouKing Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST) Computer, Electrical and Mathematical Sciences and Engineering (CEMSE) Division, Thuwal 23955-6900, Saudi Arabia. Electronic address: fouzi.harrou@kaust.edu.sa.
Abdelhafid ZeroualFaculty of Technology, Department of electrical engineering, University of 20 August 1955, Skikda 21000, Algeria; LAIG Laboratory, University of 08 May 1945, Guelma 24000, Algeria.
Mohamad Mazen HittaweKing Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST) Computer, Electrical and Mathematical Sciences and Engineering (CEMSE) Division, Thuwal 23955-6900, Saudi Arabia.
Ying SunKing Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST) Computer, Electrical and Mathematical Sciences and Engineering (CEMSE) Division, Thuwal 23955-6900, Saudi Arabia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Within the recent pandemic, scientists and clinicians are engaged in seeking new technology to stop or slow down the COVID-19 pandemic. The benefit of machine learning, as an essential aspect of artificial intelligence, on past epidemics offers a new line to tackle the novel Coronavirus outbreak. Accurate short-term forecasting of COVID-19 spread plays an essential role in improving the management of the overcrowding problem in hospitals and enables appropriate optimization of the available resources (i.e., materials and staff).This paper presents a comparative study of machine learning methods for COVID-19 transmission forecasting. We investigated the performances of deep learning methods, including the hybrid convolutional neural networks-Long short-term memory (LSTM-CNN), the hybrid gated recurrent unit-convolutional neural networks (GAN-GRU), GAN, CNN, LSTM, and Restricted Boltzmann Machine (RBM), as well as baseline machine learning methods, namely logistic regression (LR) and support vector regression (SVR). The employment of hybrid models (i.e., LSTM-CNN and GAN-GRU) is expected to eventually improve the forecasting accuracy of COVID-19 future trends. The performance of the investigated deep learning and machine learning models was tested using confirmed and recovered COVID-19 cases time-series data from seven impacted countries: Brazil, France, India, Mexico, Russia, Saudi Arabia, and the US. The results reveal that hybrid deep learning models can efficiently forecast COVID-19 cases. Also, results confirmed the superior performance of deep learning models compared to the two considered baseline machine learning models. Furthermore, results showed that LSTM-CNN achieved improved performances with an averaged mean absolute percentage error of 3.718%, among others.

Indexed as

Machine LearningPandemicsArtificial IntelligenceBrazilCOVID-19Deep LearningForecastingFranceHumansIndiaMexicoNeural Networks, ComputerRussiaSaudi ArabiaUnited StatesCOVID-19GAN-GRUHybrid deep learningLSTM-CNNshort-term forecasting

Identifiers

PMID33915272
PMCPMC8074522

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.