Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33914870›Full record

ArticleAge and ageing2021

Impact of COVID-19 on care-home mortality and life expectancy in Scotland.

Jennifer K Burton, Martin Reid, Ciara Gribben, David Caldwell, David N Clark, Peter Hanlon, Terence J Quinn, Colin Fischbacher, Peter Knight, Bruce Guthrie and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Age and ageing, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed.

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  16. Estimating US Earnings Loss Associated with COVID-19 Based on Human Capital Calculation.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Jennifer K BurtonInstitute of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow G31 2ER, UK.
Martin ReidPublic Health Scotland, Meridian Court, Glasgow G2 6QE, UK.
Ciara GribbenPublic Health Scotland, Gyle Square , Edinburgh EH12 9EB, UK.
David CaldwellPublic Health Scotland, Gyle Square , Edinburgh EH12 9EB, UK.
David N ClarkPublic Health Scotland, Gyle Square , Edinburgh EH12 9EB, UK.
Peter HanlonInstitute of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow G12 8RZ, UK.
Terence J QuinnInstitute of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow G31 2ER, UK.
Colin FischbacherPublic Health Scotland, Gyle Square , Edinburgh EH12 9EB, UK.
Peter KnightPublic Health Scotland, Gyle Square , Edinburgh EH12 9EB, UK.
Bruce GuthrieAdvanced Care Research Centre, University of Edinburgh, Old Medical School, Edinburgh EG8 9AG, UK.
David A McAllisterPublic Health Scotland, Meridian Court, Glasgow G2 6QE, UK.

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/S021949/1Wellcome Trust 201492/Z/16/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCOVID-19 deaths are commoner among care-home residents, but the mortality burden has not been quantified.

methodsCare-home residency was identified via a national primary care registration database linked to mortality data. Life expectancy was estimated using Makeham-Gompertz models to (i) describe yearly life expectancy from November 2015 to October 2020 (ii) compare life expectancy (during 2016-18) between care-home residents and the wider population and (iii) apply care-home life expectancy estimates to COVID-19 death counts to estimate years of life lost (YLL).

resultsAmong care-home residents, life expectancy in 2015/16 to 2019/20 ranged from 2.7 to 2.3 years for women and 2.3 to 1.8 years for men. Age-sex-specific life expectancy in 2016-18 in care-home residents was lower than in the Scottish population (10 and 2.5 years in those aged 70 and 90, respectively). Applying care home-specific life expectancies to COVID-19 deaths yield mean YLLs for care-home residents of 2.6 and 2.2 for women and men, respectively. In total YLL care-home residents have lost 3,560 years in women and 2,046 years in men. Approximately half of deaths and a quarter of YLL attributed to COVID-19 were accounted for by the 5% of over-70s who were care-home residents.

conclusionCOVID-19 infection has led to the loss of substantial years of life in care-home residents aged 70 years and over in Scotland. Prioritising the 5% of older adults who are care-home residents for vaccination is justified not only in terms of total deaths, but also in terms of YLL.

Indexed as

COVID-19Life ExpectancyAgedCause of DeathFemaleHumansMaleMortalitySARS-CoV-2Scotlandcare homeCOVID-19life expectancymortalityolder peoplevaccination

Identifiers

PMID33914870
PMCPMC8135527

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.