Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33910910›Full record

ArticleScience advances2021

Increasing Pleistocene permafrost persistence and carbon cycle conundrums inferred from Canadian speleothems.

Nicole Biller-Celander, Jeremy D Shakun, David McGee, Corinne I Wong, Alberto V Reyes, Ben Hardt, Irit Tal, Derek C Ford, Bernard Lauriol

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science advances, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
2.3field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 26 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Highly restricted near-surface permafrost extent during the mid-Pliocene warm period.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 5 institutions in 2 countries.

Nicole Biller-CelanderDepartment of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Boston College, Chestnut Hill, MA 02467, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5925-1603
Jeremy D ShakunDepartment of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Boston College, Chestnut Hill, MA 02467, USA. jeremy.shakun@bc.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9985-5732
David McGeeDepartment of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7329-3428
Corinne I WongDepartment of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Boston College, Chestnut Hill, MA 02467, USA.
Alberto V ReyesDepartment of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta T6G 2E3, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7838-4214
Ben HardtDepartment of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1287-1167
Irit TalDepartment of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139, USA.
Derek C FordDepartment of Geography and Earth Sciences, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario L8S 4K1, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1743-1662
Bernard LauriolDepartment of Geography, Environment and Geomatics, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario K1N 6N5, Canada.
Boston College · USMassachusetts Institute of Technology · USMcMaster University · CAUniversity of Alberta · CAUniversity of Ottawa · CA

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Permafrost carbon represents a potentially powerful amplifier of climate change, but little is known about permafrost sensitivity and associated carbon cycling during past warm intervals. We reconstruct permafrost history in western Canada during Pleistocene interglacials from 130 uranium-thorium ages on 72 speleothems, cave deposits that only accumulate with deep ground thaw. We infer that permafrost thaw extended to the high Arctic during one or more periods between ~1.5 million and 0.5 million years ago but has been limited to the sub-Arctic since 400,000 years ago. Our Canadian speleothem growth history closely parallels an analogous reconstruction from Siberia, suggesting that this shift toward more stable permafrost across the Pleistocene may have been Arctic-wide. In contrast, interglacial greenhouse gas concentrations were relatively stable throughout the Pleistocene, suggesting that either permafrost thaw did not trigger substantial carbon release to the atmosphere or it was offset by carbon uptake elsewhere on glacial-interglacial time scales.

Identifiers

PMID33910910
PMCPMC8081356
OpenAlexW3157987086

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.