Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33906658›Full record

ArticleLipids in health and disease2021

Accuracy of conventional and novel scoring systems in predicting severity and outcomes of acute pancreatitis: a retrospective study.

Qing Wu, Jie Wang, Mengbin Qin, Huiying Yang, Zhihai Liang, Guodu Tang

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Article in Lipids in health and disease, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
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13citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  4. Acute pancreatitis: mechanisms and therapeutic approaches.Signal transduction and targeted therapy · 2026
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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Qing Wu *Department of Gastroenterology, the Second Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, China.
Jie Wang *Department of Gastroenterology, the Second Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, China.
Mengbin QinDepartment of Gastroenterology, the Second Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, China.
Huiying YangDepartment of Gastroenterology, the First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, China.
Zhihai LiangDepartment of Gastroenterology, the First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, China.
Guodu TangDepartment of Gastroenterology, the First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, China. tguodu02@126.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9453-4382

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China 81970558Natural Science Foundation of Guangxi Province 2018GXNSFBA281154
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRecently, several novel scoring systems have been developed to evaluate the severity and outcomes of acute pancreatitis. This study aimed to compare the effectiveness of novel and conventional scoring systems in predicting the severity and outcomes of acute pancreatitis.

methodsPatients treated between January 2003 and August 2020 were reviewed. The Ranson score (RS), Glasgow score (GS), bedside index of severity in acute pancreatitis (BISAP), pancreatic activity scoring system (PASS), and Chinese simple scoring system (CSSS) were determined within 48 h after admission. Multivariate logistic regression was used for severity, mortality, and organ failure prediction. Optimum cutoffs were identified using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis.

resultsA total of 1848 patients were included. The areas under the curve (AUCs) of RS, GS, BISAP, PASS, and CSSS for severity prediction were 0.861, 0.865, 0.829, 0.778, and 0.816, respectively. The corresponding AUCs for mortality prediction were 0.693, 0.736, 0.789, 0.858, and 0.759. The corresponding AUCs for acute respiratory distress syndrome prediction were 0.745, 0.784, 0.834, 0.936, and 0.820. Finally, the corresponding AUCs for acute renal failure prediction were 0.707, 0.734, 0.781, 0.868, and 0.816.

conclusionsRS and GS predicted severity better than they predicted mortality and organ failure, while PASS predicted mortality and organ failure better. BISAP and CSSS performed equally well in severity and outcome predictions.

Indexed as

Acute DiseaseFemaleHumansLogistic ModelsMaleMiddle AgedPancreatitisReproducibility of ResultsRetrospective StudiesROC CurveSeverity of Illness IndexTreatment OutcomeAcute pancreatitisAcute renal failureAcute respiratory distress syndromeMortalityPredictRetrospectiveScoring systemSeverity

Identifiers

PMID33906658
PMCPMC8080352

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