Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33904312›Full record

ArticleJournal of chemical theory and computation2021

What Markov State Models Can and Cannot Do: Correlation versus Path-Based Observables in Protein-Folding Models.

Ernesto Suárez, Rafal P Wiewiora, Chris Wehmeyer, Frank Noé, John D Chodera, Daniel M Zuckerman

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of chemical theory and computation, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 28 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
28citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

28 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Enhanced Sampling and Free Energy Calculations in Protein Simulations.Advances in experimental medicine and biology · 2026
    Review
  4. Markov-Type State Models to Describe Non-Markovian Dynamics.Journal of chemical theory and computation · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Advances in the Directed Evolution of Computer-aided Enzymes.Current topics in medicinal chemistry · 2025
    Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Functional protein dynamics in a crystal.Nature communications · 2024
    Article
  12. Functional Protein Dynamics in a Crystal.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2024
    Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Markov State Models: To Optimize or Not to Optimize.Journal of chemical theory and computation · 2024
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Uncertainties in Markov State Models of Small Proteins.Journal of chemical theory and computation · 2023
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Ernesto SuárezAdvanced Biomedical Computational Science, Frederick National Laboratory for Cancer Research, Frederick, Maryland 21702, United States.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4693-5851
Rafal P WiewioraComputational and Systems Biology Program, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, Sloan Kettering Institute, New York, New York 10065, United States.
Chris WehmeyerFreie Universität Berlin, 14195 Berlin, Germany.
Frank NoéFreie Universität Berlin, 14195 Berlin, Germany.
John D ChoderaComputational and Systems Biology Program, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, Sloan Kettering Institute, New York, New York 10065, United States.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0542-119X
Daniel M ZuckermanDepartment of Biomedical Engineering, Oregon Health and Science University, Portland, Oregon 97239, United States.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7662-2031

Funding

X-RAY CRYSTALLOGRAPHYP30CA008748 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI Hongbiao Carl Lekaye · 1985 to 2026
$347.4M
WESTPA: A high-performance framework for simulating at the frontiers of biologyR01GM115805 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI LILLIAN T CHONG · 2015 to 2026
$4.0M
The role of reorganization energy in achieving selective kinase inhibition"R01GM121505 · NIGMS · SLOAN-KETTERING INST CAN RESEARCH · PI CHODERA, JOHN DAMON · 2017 to 2021
$1.8M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA008748NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM115805NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM121505
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Markov state models (MSMs) have been widely applied to study the kinetics and pathways of protein conformational dynamics based on statistical analysis of molecular dynamics (MD) simulations. These MSMs coarse-grain both configuration space and time in ways that limit what kinds of observables they can reproduce with high fidelity over different spatial and temporal resolutions. Despite their popularity, there is still limited understanding of which biophysical observables can be computed from these MSMs in a robust and unbiased manner, and which suffer from the space-time coarse-graining intrinsic in the MSM model. Most theoretical arguments and practical validity tests for MSMs rely on long-time equilibrium kinetics, such as the slowest relaxation time scales and experimentally observable time-correlation functions. Here, we perform an extensive assessment of the ability of well-validated protein folding MSMs to accurately reproduce path-based observable such as mean first-passage times (MFPTs) and transition path mechanisms compared to a direct trajectory analysis. We also assess a recently proposed class of history-augmented MSMs (haMSMs) that exploit additional information not accounted for in standard MSMs. We conclude with some practical guidance on the use of MSMs to study various problems in conformational dynamics of biomolecules. In brief, MSMs can accurately reproduce correlation functions slower than the lag time, but path-based observables can only be reliably reproduced if the lifetimes of states exceed the lag time, which is a much stricter requirement. Even in the presence of short-lived states, we find that haMSMs reproduce path-based observables more reliably.

Indexed as

Markov ChainsModels, ChemicalProtein FoldingMolecular Dynamics SimulationStochastic Processes

Identifiers

PMID33904312
PMCPMC8127341

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.