Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33904030›Full record

Observational studyJournal of general internal medicine2022

Factors Associated with Physician Tolerance of Uncertainty: an Observational Study.

Arabella Simpkin Begin, Michael Hidrue, Sara Lehrhoff, Marcela G Del Carmen, Katrina Armstrong, Jason H Wasfy

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Journal of general internal medicine, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 39 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
39citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

39 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Duagnosis: Locating Clinical Uncertainty in the Diagnostic Framework.Journal of evaluation in clinical practice · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Strategies for Teaching Uncertainty Tolerance in Medical Education: A Qualitative Study.Journal of the American College of Emergency Physicians open · 2026
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Bearing the Burdens of Medical Uncertainty.Journal of evaluation in clinical practice · 2025
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Review
  18. Review
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Arabella Simpkin BeginDepartment of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA. asimpkin@mgh.harvard.edu.ORCID 0000-0001-6652-8789
Michael HidrueMassachusetts General Physicians Organization, Boston, USA.
Sara LehrhoffMassachusetts General Physicians Organization, Boston, USA.
Marcela G Del CarmenHarvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Katrina ArmstrongDepartment of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.
Jason H WasfyDepartment of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.

Funding

American Heart Association 18 CDA 34110215
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPhysicians need to learn and work amidst a plethora of uncertainties, which may drive burnout. Understanding differences in tolerance of uncertainty is an important research area.

objectiveTo examine factors associated with tolerance of uncertainty, including well-being metrics such as burnout.

designOnline confidential survey.

settingThe Massachusetts General Physicians Organization (MGPO).

participantsAll 2172 clinically active faculty in the MGPO. MAIN MEASURES: We examined associations for tolerance of uncertainty with demographic information, personal and professional characteristics, and physician well-being metrics. KEY

resultsTwo thousand twenty (93%) physicians responded. Multivariable analyses identified significant associations of lower tolerance of uncertainty with female gender (OR, 1.23; 95% CI, 1.03-1.48); primary care practice (OR, 1.56; 95% CI, 1.22-2.00); years since training (OR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.98-0.995); and lacking a trusted advisor (OR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.03-1.53). Adjusting for demographic and professional characteristics, physicians with low tolerance of uncertainty had higher likelihood of being burned-out (OR, 3.06; 95% CI, 2.41-3.88), were less likely to be satisfied with career (OR, 0.37; 95% CI, 0.26-0.52), and less likely to be engaged at work (RR, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.84-0.90).

conclusionAt a time when concern about physician well-being is high, with much speculation about causes of burnout, we found a strong relationship between tolerance of uncertainty and physician well-being, across specialties. Particular attention likely needs to be paid to those with less experience, those in specialties with high rates of undifferentiated illness and uncertainty, such as primary care, and ensuring all physicians have access to a trusted advisor. These results generate the potential hypothesis that efforts focused in understanding and embracing uncertainty could be potentially effective for reducing burnout. This concept should be tested in prospective trials.

Indexed as

Burnout, ProfessionalGeneral PractitionersFemaleHumansJob SatisfactionProspective StudiesSurveys and QuestionnairesUncertaintyburnoutcontinuing medical educationfaculty developmentuncertaintywell-being

Identifiers

PMID33904030
PMCPMC8074695

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.