Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33901296›Full record

Observational studyJournal of the American Geriatrics Society2021

Identifying Medicare beneficiaries with dementia.

Lidia M V R Moura, Natalia Festa, Mary Price, Margarita Volya, Nicole M Benson, Sahar Zafar, Max Weiss, Deborah Blacker, Sharon-Lise Normand, Joseph P Newhouse and 1 more

Abstract readObservational StudyValidation Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Journal of the American Geriatrics Society, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 68 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
68citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

68 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Risk factors and risk stratification approaches for delirium screening: A Geriatric Emergency Department Guidelines 2.0 systematic review.Academic emergency medicine : official journal of the Society for Academic Emergency Medicine · 2024
    Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. PMEnvironmental health perspectives · 2026
    Article
  4. Dementia Is Associated With Adverse Outcomes After Nonruptured Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Repair.Annals of surgery open : perspectives of surgical history, education, and clinical approaches · 2026
    Article
  5. Incidence and Outcomes of Unplanned Intensive Interventions After Common Inpatient Surgeries: A Population-Based Cohort Study.Annals of surgery open : perspectives of surgical history, education, and clinical approaches · 2026
    Article
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  20. Unraveling disparities in county-level dementia diagnosis prevalence across the United States.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2025
    Article

8 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Lidia M V R MouraDepartment of Neurology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Natalia FestaDepartment of Internal Medicine, Section of Geriatric Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
Mary PriceMongan Institute, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Margarita VolyaMongan Institute, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Nicole M BensonMongan Institute, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5361-4311
Sahar ZafarDepartment of Neurology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Max WeissMongan Institute, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Deborah BlackerDepartment of Psychiatry, Massachusetts General Hospital/Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Sharon-Lise NormandDepartment of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Joseph P NewhouseDepartment of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
John HsuMongan Institute, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.

Funding

Tradeoffs in the Design of Public Long-Term Care BenefitsP01AG032952 · NIA · HARVARD MEDICAL SCHOOL · PI Bruce E. Landon · 2009 to 2026
$39.0M
RESEARCH TRAINING-MEDICAL INFORMATICS 90T15LM007092 · NLM · HARVARD UNIVERSITY (SCH OF PUBLIC HLTH) · PI Nils Gehlenborg · 1992 to 2026
$32.8M
COVID-19 and Acute Medical Care: Impact on Dementia PatientsR01AG062282 · NIA · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI HSU, JOHN · 2018 to 2022
$4.5M
Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Patients with Alzheimer's Disease and Alzheimer's Disease Related DementiasU01AG076478 · NIA · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI HSU, JOHN · 2021 to 2025
$4.1M
Optimizing anti-epileptic drug treatment in acute brain injuryK23NS114201 · NINDS · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI ZAFAR, SAHAR F · 2019 to 2023
$1.0M
Treatment Strategies in Geriatric EpilepsyK08AG053380 · NIA · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI MOURA, LIDIA MARIA VERAS ROCHA DE · 2017 to 2021
$842k
NIA NIH HHS K08 AG053380NIA NIH HHS NIH-NIA 2P01AG032952-11NIA NIH HHS NIH-NIA 5K08AG053380-02NIA NIH HHS NIH-NIA 5R01AG062282-02NIA NIH HHS P01 AG032952NIA NIH HHS R01 AG062282NIA NIH HHS U01 AG076478NINDS NIH HHS NIH-NINDS K23NS114201NLM NIH HHS NLM T15 LM007092
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND/

objectivesNo data exist regarding the validity of International Classification of Disease (ICD)-10 dementia diagnoses against a clinician-adjudicated reference standard within Medicare claims data. We examined the accuracy of claims-based diagnoses with respect to expert clinician adjudication using a novel database with individual-level linkages between electronic health record (EHR) and claims.

designIn this retrospective observational study, two neurologists and two psychiatrists performed a standardized review of patients' medical records from January 2016 to December 2018 and adjudicated dementia status. We measured the accuracy of three claims-based definitions of dementia against the reference standard.

settingMass-General-Brigham Healthcare (MGB), Massachusetts, USA.

participantsFrom an eligible population of 40,690 fee-for-service (FFS) Medicare beneficiaries, aged 65 years and older, within the MGB Accountable Care Organization (ACO), we generated a random sample of 1002 patients, stratified by the pretest likelihood of dementia using administrative surrogates.

interventionNone. MEASUREMENTS: We evaluated the accuracy (area under receiver operating curve [AUROC]) and calibration (calibration-in-the-large [CITL] and calibration slope) of three ICD-10 claims-based definitions of dementia against clinician-adjudicated standards. We applied inverse probability weighting to reconstruct the eligible population and reported the mean and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) for all performance characteristics, using 10-fold cross-validation (CV).

resultsBeneficiaries had an average age of 75.3 years and were predominately female (59%) and non-Hispanic whites (93%). The adjudicated prevalence of dementia in the eligible population was 7%. The best-performing definition demonstrated excellent accuracy (CV-AUC 0.94; 95% CI 0.92-0.96) and was well-calibrated to the reference standard of clinician-adjudicated dementia (CV-CITL <0.001, CV-slope 0.97).

conclusionThis study is the first to validate ICD-10 diagnostic codes against a robust and replicable approach to dementia ascertainment, using a real-world clinical reference standard. The best performing definition includes diagnostic codes with strong face validity and outperforms an updated version of a previously validated ICD-9 definition of dementia.

Indexed as

AgedAged, 80 and overDementiaFemaleHumansInternational Classification of DiseasesLogistic ModelsMaleMedicarePrevalenceReference StandardsRetrospective StudiesUnited Statesdementiadementia prevalenceelectronic health recordMedicare claimsvalidation

Identifiers

PMID33901296
PMCPMC8373730

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.