Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33901187›Full record

ArticlePLoS medicine2021

Anomalously warm weather and acute care visits in patients with multiple sclerosis: A retrospective study of privately insured individuals in the US.

Holly Elser, Robbie M Parks, Nuriel Moghavem, Mathew V Kiang, Nina Bozinov, Victor W Henderson, David H Rehkopf, Joan A Casey

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS medicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.2field-weighted citation impact, top 13% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 31 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  3. Review
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  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Seasonal Variations in Multiple Sclerosis Relapses in Oman: A Single Tertiary Centre Experience.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2024
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Holly ElserStanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0003-1781-904X
Robbie M ParksEarth Institute, Columbia University, New York, New York, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-7916-1717
Nuriel MoghavemDepartment of Neurology and Neurological Sciences, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California, United States of America.
Mathew V KiangDepartment of Epidemiology and Population Health, Stanford University, Stanford, California, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0001-9198-150X
Nina BozinovDepartment of Neurology and Neurological Sciences, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California, United States of America.
Victor W HendersonDepartment of Neurology and Neurological Sciences, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0003-1198-9240
David H RehkopfCenter for Population Health Sciences, Stanford, California, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-7597-6513
Joan A CaseyMailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, New York, United States of America.
Stanford University · USColumbia University · USEarth Island Institute · US

Funding

True Metal fac coreP30ES009089 · NIEHS · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI MATTHEW S PERZANOWSKI · 1998 to 2026
$44.7M
The Impact of Unconventional Natural Gas Development on Maternal, Perinatal, and Childhood Health: an Electronic Health Record ApproachR00ES027023 · NIEHS · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI CASEY, JOAN A · 2019 to 2021
$747k
Reducing racial disparities in the treatment of opioid use disorder using machine learning-based causal analysisK99DA051534 · NIDA · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI KIANG, MATHEW VINHHOA · 2020 to 2021
$359k
NIDA NIH HHS K99 DA051534NIEHS NIH HHS P30 ES009089NIEHS NIH HHS R00 ES027023
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAs the global climate changes in response to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions, weather and temperature are expected to become increasingly variable. Although heat sensitivity is a recognized clinical feature of multiple sclerosis (MS), a chronic demyelinating disorder of the central nervous system, few studies have examined the implications of climate change for patients with this disease. METHODS AND

findingsWe conducted a retrospective cohort study of individuals with MS ages 18-64 years in a nationwide United States patient-level commercial and Medicare Advantage claims database from 2003 to 2017. We defined anomalously warm weather as any month in which local average temperatures exceeded the long-term average by ≥1.5°C. We estimated the association between anomalously warm weather and MS-related inpatient, outpatient, and emergency department visits using generalized log-linear models. From 75,395,334 individuals, we identified 106,225 with MS. The majority were women (76.6%) aged 36-55 years (59.0%). Anomalously warm weather was associated with increased risk for emergency department visits (risk ratio [RR] = 1.043, 95% CI: 1.025-1.063) and inpatient visits (RR = 1.032, 95% CI: 1.010-1.054). There was limited evidence of an association between anomalously warm weather and MS-related outpatient visits (RR = 1.010, 95% CI: 1.005-1.015). Estimates were similar for men and women, strongest among older individuals, and exhibited substantial variation by season, region, and climate zone. Limitations of the present study include the absence of key individual-level measures of socioeconomic position (i.e., race/ethnicity, occupational status, and housing quality) that may determine where individuals live-and therefore the extent of their exposure to anomalously warm weather-as well as their propensity to seek treatment for neurologic symptoms.

conclusionsOur findings suggest that as global temperatures rise, individuals with MS may represent a particularly susceptible subpopulation, a finding with implications for both healthcare providers and systems.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeHot TemperatureSeasonsWeatherAdultAgedEmergency Service, HospitalFemaleHumansMaleMedicareMiddle AgedMultiple SclerosisRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsUnited States

Identifiers

PMID33901187
PMCPMC8109782
OpenAlexW3158567675

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.