Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33898885›Full record

ArticleInfectious Disease Modelling2021

Analysis of intervention effectiveness using early outbreak transmission dynamics to guide future pandemic management and decision-making in Kuwait.

Michael G Tyshenko, Tamer Oraby, Joseph Longenecker, Harri Vainio, Janvier Gasana, Walid Q Alali, Mohammad AlSeaidan, Susie ElSaadany, Mustafa Al-Zoughool

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Infectious Disease Modelling, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Exercise Perceptions, Barriers, and Self-Efficacy Among Adults in Kuwait During the COVID-19 Pandemic.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2026
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Michael G TyshenkoMcLaughlin Centre for Population Health Risk Assessment, Faculty of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, K1N 6N5, Canada.
Tamer OrabySchool of Mathematical and Statistical Sciences, The University of Texas Rio Grande Valley, Edinburg, TX, 78539, USA.
Joseph LongeneckerFaculty of Public Health, University of Kuwait, Kuwait.
Harri VainioFaculty of Public Health, University of Kuwait, Kuwait.
Janvier GasanaFaculty of Public Health, University of Kuwait, Kuwait.
Walid Q AlaliDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Faculty of Public Health, University of Kuwait, Safat, 13110, Kuwait.
Mohammad AlSeaidanDepartment of Occupational Health, Ministry of Health, Kuwait.
Susie ElSaadanyDepartment of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, K1H 8M5, Canada.
Mustafa Al-ZoughoolFaculty of Public Health, University of Kuwait, Kuwait.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is a World Health Organization designated pandemic that can result in severe symptoms and death that disproportionately affects older patients or those with comorbidities. Kuwait reported its first imported cases of COVID-19 on February 24, 2020. Analysis of data from the first three months of community transmission of the COVID-19 outbreak in Kuwait can provide important guidance for decision-making when dealing with future SARS-CoV-2 epidemic wave management. The analysis of intervention scenarios can help to evaluate the possible impacts of various outbreak control measures going forward which aim to reduce the effective reproduction number during the initial outbreak wave. Herein we use a modified susceptible-exposed-asymptomatic-infectious-removed (SEAIR) transmission model to estimate the outbreak dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Kuwait. We fit case data from the first 96 days in the model to estimate the effective reproduction number and used Google mobility data to refine community contact matrices. The SEAIR modelled scenarios allow for the analysis of various interventions to determine their effectiveness. The model can help inform future pandemic wave management, not only in Kuwait but for other countries as well.

Indexed as

COVID-19Effective reproduction numberKuwaitLockdownNon-pharmaceutical interventionsSEAIR deterministic Model

Identifiers

PMID33898885
PMCPMC8054527

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.