Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33894745›Full record

ArticleBMC public health2021

A longitudinal and geospatial analysis of COVID-19 tweets during the early outbreak period in the United States.

Raphael E Cuomo, Vidya Purushothaman, Jiawei Li, Mingxiang Cai, Tim K Mackey

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC public health, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.0field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 23 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  9. Evidence and theory for lower rates of depression in larger US urban areas.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2021
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Raphael E CuomoDepartment of Anesthesiology, University of California, San Diego School of Medicine, San Diego, CA, USA.
Vidya PurushothamanDepartment of Anesthesiology, University of California, San Diego School of Medicine, San Diego, CA, USA.
Jiawei LiGlobal Health Policy and Data Institute, San Diego, CA, USA.
Mingxiang CaiS-3 Research LLC, San Diego, CA, USA.
Tim K MackeyDepartment of Anesthesiology, University of California, San Diego School of Medicine, San Diego, CA, USA. tmackey@ucsd.edu.
Global Policy Institute · USQ.D. Research · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionEarly reports of COVID-19 cases and deaths may not accurately convey community-level concern about the pandemic during early stages, particularly in the United States where testing capacity was initially limited. Social media interaction may elucidate public reaction and communication dynamics about COVID-19 in this critical period, during which communities may have formulated initial conceptions about the perceived severity of the pandemic.

methodsTweets were collected from the Twitter public API stream filtered for keywords related to COVID-19. Using a pre-existing training set, a support vector machine (SVM) classifier was used to obtain a larger set of geocoded tweets with characteristics of user self-reporting COVID-19 symptoms, concerns, and experiences. We then assessed the longitudinal relationship between identified tweets and the number of officially reported COVID-19 cases using linear and exponential regression at the U.S. county level. Changes in tweets that included geospatial clustering were also assessed for the top five most populous U.S. cities.

resultsFrom an initial dataset of 60 million tweets, we analyzed 459,937 tweets that contained COVID-19-related keywords that were also geolocated to U.S. counties. We observed an increasing number of tweets throughout the study period, although there was variation between city centers and residential areas. Tweets identified as COVID-19 symptoms or concerns appeared to be more predictive of active COVID-19 cases as temporal distance increased.

conclusionResults from this study suggest that social media communication dynamics during the early stages of a global pandemic may exhibit a number of geospatial-specific variations among different communities and that targeted pandemic communication is warranted. User engagement on COVID-19 topics may also be predictive of future confirmed case counts, though further studies to validate these findings are needed.

Indexed as

COVID-19Social MediaDisease OutbreaksHumansPandemicsSARS-CoV-2United StatesCOVID-19Ecological epidemiologyGeospatial analysisInfectious diseasesSocial media

Identifiers

PMID33894745
PMCPMC8067788
OpenAlexW3143165847

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.