Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33893324›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2021

Effects of family planning on fertility behaviour across the demographic transition.

Karen L Kramer, Joe Hackman, Ryan Schacht, Helen E Davis

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
5.6field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 24 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Trial
  2. Birth Weight in the Daasanach Community of Northern Kenya and the Effect of Multiparity.American journal of human biology : the official journal of the Human Biology Council · 2026
    Article
  3. Demography of grandmothering: a case study in Agta foragers.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2025
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Small-scale farmer responses to the double exposure of climate change and market integration.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2023
    Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Karen L KramerDepartment of Anthropology, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, USA. karen.kramer@anthro.utah.edu.
Joe HackmanDepartment of Anthropology, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, USA.
Ryan SchachtDepartment of Anthropology, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC, USA.
Helen E DavisDepartment of Human Evolutionary Biology, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, USA.
University of Utah · USEast Carolina University · USHarvard University · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The adoption of contraception often coincides with market integration and has transformative effects on fertility behavior. Yet many parents in small-scale societies make decisions about whether and when to adopt family planning in an environment where the payoffs to  have smaller families are uncertain. Here we track the fertility of Maya women across 90 years, spanning the transition from natural to contracepting fertility. We first situate the uncertainty in which fertility decisions are made and model how childbearing behaviors respond. We find that contraception, a key factor in cultural transmission models of fertility decline, initially has little effect on family size as women appear to hedge their bets and adopt fertility control only at the end of their reproductive careers. Family planning is, however, associated with the spread of lower fertility in later cohorts. Distinguishing influences on the origin versus spread of a behaviour provides valuable insight into causal factors shaping individual and normative changes in fertility.

Indexed as

Contraception BehaviorFertilityAdultCohort StudiesCultural CharacteristicsDeveloping CountriesFamily Planning ServicesFemaleHumansMaleSocioeconomic FactorsUncertaintyYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID33893324
PMCPMC8065026
OpenAlexW3153104329

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.