Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33892705›Full record

ArticleBMC health services research2021

Cost effectiveness analysis of a polygenic risk tailored breast cancer screening programme in Singapore.

Jerry Zeng Yang Wong, Jia Hui Chai, Yen Shing Yeoh, Nur Khaliesah Mohamed Riza, Jenny Liu, Yik-Ying Teo, Hwee Lin Wee, Mikael Hartman

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC health services research, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 6 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed, 6 pooled it
1.9field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 6 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 32 citations in OpenAlex.

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  6. Can polygenic risk scores contribute to cost-effective cancer screening? A systematic review.Genetics in medicine : official journal of the American College of Medical Genetics · 2022
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  17. Comprehensive Inherited Risk Estimation for Risk-Based Breast Cancer Screening in Women.Journal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Jerry Zeng Yang WongLife Sciences Institute, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore.
Jia Hui ChaiSaw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore and National University Health Systems Singapore, Singapore, Singapore.
Yen Shing YeohSaw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore and National University Health Systems Singapore, Singapore, Singapore.
Nur Khaliesah Mohamed RizaSaw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore and National University Health Systems Singapore, Singapore, Singapore.
Jenny LiuSaw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore and National University Health Systems Singapore, Singapore, Singapore.
Yik-Ying TeoLife Sciences Institute, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore.
Hwee Lin WeeSaw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore and National University Health Systems Singapore, Singapore, Singapore. weehweelin@nus.edu.sg.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7150-1801
Mikael HartmanSaw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore and National University Health Systems Singapore, Singapore, Singapore.
National University of Singapore · SG

Funding

Breast Cancer Prevention Programme under Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health Programme of Research Seed Funding SSHSPH-Res-ProgClinician Scientist Award (Senior Investigator Category) NMRC/CSA-SI/0015/2017
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThis study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of a breast cancer screening programme that incorporates genetic testing using breast cancer associated single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), against the current biennial mammogram-only screening programme to aid in its implementation into the current programme in Singapore.

methodsA Markov model was used to compare the costs and health outcomes of the current screening programme, against a polygenic risk-tailored screening programme, which can advise a long-term screening strategy depending on the individual's polygenic risk. The model took the perspective of the healthcare system, with a time horizon of 40 years, following women from the age of 35 to 74. Epidemiological and cost data were taken from Asian studies, and an annual discount rate of 3% was used. The model outcome was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), calculated from the difference in costs per quality-adjusted life year (QALY). Scenarios with varying risk thresholds for each polygenic risk group were examined. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to assess parameter uncertainty.

resultsThe ICER for a polygenic risk-tailored breast cancer screening programme, compared with the current biennial mammogram-only screening programme, was - 3713.80 SGD/QALY, with incremental costs < 0 and incremental effects > 0. The scenario analysis of different polygenic risk cutoffs showed that the ICERs remain negative, with all ICERs falling within the south-east quadrant of the cost-effectiveness plane, indicating that tailored screening is more cost effective than mammogram-only screening, with lower costs and higher QALYs to be gained. This suggests that a polygenic risk-tailored breast cancer screening programme is cost effective, entailing lower cost than the current mammogram-only programme, while causing no additional harm to women.

conclusionResults from this cost-effectiveness analysis show that polygenic risk-tailored screening is cost effective with an ICER of - 3713.80 SGD/QALY. Tailored screening remains cost effective even across varying percentile cutoffs for each risk group. While the results look promising for incorporating polygenic risk into the current breast cancer screening programme, further studies should be conducted to address various limitations.

Indexed as

Breast NeoplasmsCost-Benefit AnalysisEarly Detection of CancerFemaleHumansMammographyQuality-Adjusted Life YearsSingaporeBreast cancer screeningCost effectiveness analysisEconomic evaluationPolygenic risk scoresRisk stratification

Identifiers

PMID33892705
PMCPMC8066868
OpenAlexW3123249386

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.