Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33888818›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2021

Modelling the potential impact of mask use in schools and society on COVID-19 control in the UK.

J Panovska-Griffiths, C C Kerr, W Waites, R M Stuart, D Mistry, D Foster, D J Klein, R M Viner, C Bonell

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Measures implemented in the school setting to contain the COVID-19 pandemicThe Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2022
    Pooled it
  3. Article
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  19. Relation of masking policy to COVID-19 positivity rate in Texas school districts.Proceedings (Baylor University. Medical Center) · 2022
    Article
  20. Adverse Reactions to Facemasks in Health-Care Workers: A Cross-Sectional Survey.Clinical, cosmetic and investigational dermatology · 2022
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

J Panovska-GriffithsDepartment of Applied Health Research, University College London, London, UK. j.panovska-griffiths@ucl.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0002-7720-1121
C C KerrInstitute for Disease Modeling, Global Health Division, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Seattle, WA, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2517-2354
W WaitesSchool of Informatics, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-7759-6805
R M StuartDepartment of Mathematical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0001-5482-9584
D MistryInstitute for Disease Modeling, Global Health Division, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Seattle, WA, USA.
D FosterUniversity of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.
D J KleinInstitute for Disease Modeling, Global Health Division, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Seattle, WA, USA.
R M Viner *UCL Great Ormond St. Institute of Child Health, London, UK.
C Bonell *Faculty of Public Health and Policy, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.

Funding

Chief Scientist Office COV/EDI/20/12
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

As the UK reopened after the first wave of the COVID-19 epidemic, crucial questions emerged around the role for ongoing interventions, including test-trace-isolate (TTI) strategies and mandatory masks. Here we assess the importance of masks in secondary schools by evaluating their impact over September 1-October 23, 2020. We show that, assuming TTI levels from August 2020 and no fundamental changes in the virus's transmissibility, adoption of masks in secondary schools would have reduced the predicted size of a second wave, but preventing it would have required 68% or 46% of those with symptoms to seek testing (assuming masks' effective coverage 15% or 30% respectively). With masks in community settings but not secondary schools, the required testing rates increase to 76% and 57%.

Indexed as

COVID-19COVID-19 TestingHumansMasksModels, TheoreticalSchoolsUnited Kingdom

Identifiers

PMID33888818
PMCPMC8062670

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.