Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33888169›Full record

Observational studyEpidemiology and infection2021

COVID-19 in Brazil: spatial risk, social vulnerability, human development, clinical manifestations and predictors of mortality - a retrospective study with data from 59 695 individuals.

Jussara Almeida Oliveira Baggio, Michael Ferreira Machado, Rodrigo Feliciano do Carmo, Anderson da Costa Armstrong, Alan Dantas Dos Santos, Carlos Dornels Freire de Souza

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Epidemiology and infection, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. What Makes Urban Communities More Resilient to COVID-19? A Systematic Review of Current Evidence.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Pooled it
  2. Article
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  7. Prevalence and Factors Associated with Olfactory Dysfunction in Individuals with COVID-19 in Brazil: A Study of 20,669 Cases from 2020 to 2021.Medical principles and practice : international journal of the Kuwait University, Health Science Centre · 2024
    Article
  8. Article
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  11. Review
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  14. Human Development Index Is Associated with COVID-19 Case Fatality Rate in Brazil: An Ecological Study.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Jussara Almeida Oliveira BaggioDepartment of Medicine Federal, University of Alagoas, Arapiraca, AL, Brazil.
Michael Ferreira MachadoPost-graduation Program in Family Health, Department of Medicine Federal, University of Alagoas, Arapiraca, AL, Brazil.
Rodrigo Feliciano do CarmoPostgraduate Program in Health and Biological Sciences, Federal University of Vale do São Francisco (UNIVASF), Petrolina, Pernambuco, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0001-9601-6995
Anderson da Costa ArmstrongPostgraduate Program in Health and Biological Sciences, Federal University of Vale do São Francisco (UNIVASF), Petrolina, Pernambuco, Brazil.
Alan Dantas Dos SantosFederal University of Sergipe, Sergipe, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-6529-1887
Carlos Dornels Freire de SouzaPost-graduation Program in Family Health, Department of Medicine Federal, University of Alagoas, Arapiraca, AL, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0001-7995-1893

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Brazil ranks second in the number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 worldwide. In spite of this, coping measures differ throughout the national territory, as does the disease's impact on the population. This cross-sectional observational study, with 59 695 cases of COVID-19 registered in the state of Alagoas between March and August 2020, analysed clinical-epidemiological variables, incidence rate, mortality rate, case fatality rate (CFR) and the social indicators municipal human development index (MHDI) and social vulnerability index (SVI). Moran statistics and regression models were applied. Logistic regression analysis was applied to determine the predictors of death. The incidence rate was 1788.7/100 000 inhabitants; mortality rate was 48.0/100 000 and CFR was 2.7%. The highest incidence rates were observed in municipalities with better human development (overall MHDI (I = 0.1668; p = 0.002), education MHDI (I = 0.1649; p = 0.002) and income MHDI (I = 0.1880; p = 0.005)) and higher social vulnerability (overall SVI (I = 0.0599; p = 0.033)). CFR was associated with higher social vulnerability (SVI human capital (I = 0.0858; p = 0.004) and SVI urban infrastructure (I = 0.0985; p = 0.040)). Of the analysed cases, 55.4% were female; 2/3 were Black or Brown and the median age was 41 years. Among deaths, most were male (919; 57.4%) and elderly (1171; 73.1%). The predictors of death were male sex, advanced age and the presence of comorbidities. In Alagoas, Brazil, the disease has undergone a process of interiorisation and caused more deaths in poorer municipalities. The presence of comorbidities and advanced age were predictors of death.

Indexed as

AdultAgedBrazilCOVID-19Cross-Sectional StudiesDatabases, FactualFemaleHumansIncidenceLogistic ModelsMaleMiddle AgedRegistriesRisk FactorsSpatial AnalysisYoung AdultCoronavirus diseaseCOVID-19epidemicepidemiology

Identifiers

PMID33888169
PMCPMC8111197

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.