Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33886486›Full record

ArticleJMIR mHealth and uHealth2021

On-site Dining in Tokyo During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Time Series Analysis Using Mobile Phone Location Data.

Miharu Nakanishi, Ryosuke Shibasaki, Syudo Yamasaki, Satoshi Miyazawa, Satoshi Usami, Hiroshi Nishiura, Atsushi Nishida

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JMIR mHealth and uHealth, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Effectiveness of social distancing measures and lockdowns for reducing transmission of COVID-19 in non-healthcare, community-based settings.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Miharu NakanishiResearch Center for Social Science & Medicine, Tokyo Metopolitan Institute of Medical Science, Setagaya-ku, Tokyo, Japan.ORCID 0000-0001-6200-9279
Ryosuke ShibasakiDivision of Environmental Studies, Department of Socio-Cultural Environmental Studies, The University of Tokyo, Kashiwa-shi,Chiba, Japan.ORCID 0000-0001-8760-244X
Syudo YamasakiResearch Center for Social Science & Medicine, Tokyo Metopolitan Institute of Medical Science, Setagaya-ku, Tokyo, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-9016-6404
Satoshi MiyazawaTechnology Department, LocationMind Inc, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, Japan.ORCID 0000-0001-7103-3000
Satoshi UsamiCenter for Research and Development of Higher Education, The University of Tokyo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-5670-2242
Hiroshi NishiuraSchool of Public Health, Kyoto University, Kyoto-shi, Kyoto, Japan.ORCID 0000-0001-6530-891X
Atsushi NishidaResearch Center for Social Science & Medicine, Tokyo Metopolitan Institute of Medical Science, Setagaya-ku, Tokyo, Japan.ORCID 0000-0001-6451-7699

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDuring the second wave of COVID-19 in August 2020, the Tokyo Metropolitan Government implemented public health and social measures to reduce on-site dining. Assessing the associations between human behavior, infection, and social measures is essential to understand achievable reductions in cases and identify the factors driving changes in social dynamics.

objectiveThe aim of this study was to investigate the association between nighttime population volumes, the COVID-19 epidemic, and the implementation of public health and social measures in Tokyo.

methodsWe used mobile phone location data to estimate populations between 10 PM and midnight in seven Tokyo metropolitan areas. Mobile phone trajectories were used to distinguish and extract on-site dining from stay-at-work and stay-at-home behaviors. Numbers of new cases and symptom onsets were obtained. Weekly mobility and infection data from March 1 to November 14, 2020, were analyzed using a vector autoregression model.

resultsAn increase in the number of symptom onsets was observed 1 week after the nighttime population volume increased (coefficient=0.60, 95% CI 0.28 to 0.92). The effective reproduction number significantly increased 3 weeks after the nighttime population volume increased (coefficient=1.30, 95% CI 0.72 to 1.89). The nighttime population volume increased significantly following reports of decreasing numbers of confirmed cases (coefficient=-0.44, 95% CI -0.73 to -0.15). Implementation of social measures to restaurants and bars was not significantly associated with nighttime population volume (coefficient=0.004, 95% CI -0.07 to 0.08).

conclusionsThe nighttime population started to increase after decreasing incidence of COVID-19 was announced. Considering time lags between infection and behavior changes, social measures should be planned in advance of the surge of an epidemic, sufficiently informed by mobility data.

Indexed as

Cell PhoneCOVID-19HumansPandemicsSARS-CoV-2TokyoCOVID-19infectious diseaselocationmobile phonemobilitymobility dataon-site diningprotectionpublic healthpublic health and social measurestime seriestransmission

Identifiers

PMID33886486
PMCPMC8115398

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.