Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33884312›Full record

ArticleBMJ paediatrics open2021

Incidence of Kawasaki disease before and during the COVID-19 pandemic: a retrospective cohort study in Japan.

Kyohei Iio, Kousaku Matsubara, Chisato Miyakoshi, Kunitaka Ota, Rika Yamaoka, Junji Eguchi, Osamu Matsumura, Takahiro Okutani, Ikuyo Ueda, Masahiro Nishiyama

Open access · diamondAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ paediatrics open, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
26citing papers in PubMed
7.9field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

26 citing papers in PubMed, 49 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Association between PMEuropean journal of pediatrics · 2026
    Article
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  4. Kawasaki Disease in Canada: The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic.CJC pediatric and congenital heart disease · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. An Update on Kawasaki Disease.Current rheumatology reports · 2024
    Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Review
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  20. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 8 institutions in 1 country.

Kyohei IioDepartment of Pediatrics, Kobe City Nishi-Kobe Medical Center, Kobe, Hyogo, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-7356-5307
Kousaku MatsubaraDepartment of Pediatrics, Kobe City Nishi-Kobe Medical Center, Kobe, Hyogo, Japan.
Chisato MiyakoshiDepartment of Pediatrics, Kobe City Medical Center General Hospital, Kobe, Hyogo, Japan.
Kunitaka OtaDepartment of Pediatrics, Konan Medical Center, Kobe, Hyogo, Japan.
Rika YamaokaDepartment of Pediatrics, National Hospital Organization Kobe Medical Center, Kobe, Hyogo, Japan.
Junji EguchiDepartment of Pediatrics, Kobe City Medical Center West Hospital, Kobe, Hyogo, Japan.
Osamu MatsumuraDepartment of General Pediatrics, Hyogo Prefectural Kobe Children's Hospital, Kobe, Hyogo, Japan.
Takahiro OkutaniDepartment of Pediatrics, Saiseikai Hyogo-ken Hospital, Kobe, Hyogo, Japan.
Ikuyo UedaDepartment of Pediatrics, Japan Community Health Care Organization Kobe Central Hospital, Kobe, Hyogo, Japan.
Masahiro NishiyamaDepartment of Pediatrics, Kobe University Graduate School of Medicine, Kobe, Hyogo, Japan.
Kobe City Nishi-Kobe Medical Center · JPKobe Central Hospital · JPKobe Children's Hospital · JPKobe City Medical Center General Hospital · JPKobe City Medical Center West Hospital · JPKobe Kaisei Hospital · JPKobe Medical Center · JPKobe University · JP

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Epidemiological studies in Kawasaki disease (KD) have suggested infectious aetiology. During the COVID-19 pandemic, measures for mitigating SARS-CoV-2 transmission also suppress the circulation of other contagious microorganisms. The primary objective is to compare the number and incidence of KD before and during the COVID-19 pandemic in Japan, and the secondary objective is to investigate temporal association between the KD epidemiology and activities of SARS-CoV-2 and other viral and bacterial infections. Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted between 2016 and 2020 in Kobe, Japan. We collected information of hospitalised KD children in Kobe. Child population was identified through the resident registry system. Activity of COVID-19 and 11 other infectious diseases was derived from a public health monitoring system. Monthly change of KD incidence was analysed using a difference-in-difference regression model. Results: Throughout the study period, 1027 KD children were identified. KD had begun to decline in April 2020, coinciding with the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic. The number of KD cases (n=66) between April and December 2020 was 40% of the average in the same period in 2016-2019 (165/year). Annual KD incidence was 315, 300, 353, 347 and 188/100 000 children aged 0-4 years in 2016-2020, respectively. The difference-in-difference value of KD incidence was significantly reduced in the fourth quarter in 2020 (-15.8, 95% CI -28.0 to -3.5), compared with that in 2016-2019. Sentinel surveillance showed a marked decrease of all infectious diseases except exanthema subitum after the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic. There were 86 COVID-19 cases aged <10 years and no KD children associated with COVID-19. Conclusion: This study showed that the number and incidence of KD was dramatically reduced during the COVID-19 pandemic in Japan. This change was temporally associated with decreased activities of various infectious diseases other than COVID-19, supporting the hypothesis of infection-triggered pathogenesis in KD.

Indexed as

COVID-19Mucocutaneous Lymph Node SyndromeChildChild, PreschoolHumansIncidenceInfantInfant, NewbornJapanPandemicsRetrospective StudiesSARS-CoV-2COVID-19epidemiologymicrobiologyrheumatology

Identifiers

PMID33884312
PMCPMC8023747
OpenAlexW3151230364

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.