Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33883555›Full record

ArticleNature communications2021

Distance to native climatic niche margins explains establishment success of alien mammals.

Olivier Broennimann, Blaise Petitpierre, Mathieu Chevalier, Manuela González-Suárez, Jonathan M Jeschke, Jonathan Rolland, Sarah M Gray, Sven Bacher, Antoine Guisan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Niche-based approach to explore the impacts of environmental disturbances on biodiversity.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2024
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  11. Ecological marginalization is widespread and increases extinction risk in mammals.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Olivier BroennimannDepartment of Ecology & Evolution, University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland. olivier.broennimann@unil.ch.ORCID 0000-0001-9913-3695
Blaise PetitpierreDepartment of Ecology & Evolution, University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland.
Mathieu ChevalierDepartment of Ecology & Evolution, University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland.
Manuela González-SuárezEcology and Evolutionary Biology, School of Biological Sciences, University of Reading, Reading, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-5069-8900
Jonathan M JeschkeInstitute of Biology, Freie Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-3328-4217
Jonathan RollandLaboratoire Evolution et Diversité Biologique, CNRS, Bâtiment 4R1, Toulouse, France.ORCID 0000-0002-7141-0870
Sarah M GrayDepartment of Biology, Unit of Ecology & Evolution, University of Fribourg, Fribourg, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-4025-6487
Sven Bacher *Department of Biology, Unit of Ecology & Evolution, University of Fribourg, Fribourg, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0001-5147-7165
Antoine Guisan *Department of Ecology & Evolution, University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

One key hypothesis explaining the fate of exotic species introductions posits that the establishment of a self-sustaining population in the invaded range can only succeed within conditions matching the native climatic niche. Yet, this hypothesis remains untested for individual release events. Using a dataset of 979 introductions of 173 mammal species worldwide, we show that climate-matching to the realized native climatic niche, measured by a new Niche Margin Index (NMI), is a stronger predictor of establishment success than most previously tested life-history attributes and historical factors. Contrary to traditional climatic suitability metrics derived from species distribution models, NMI is based on niche margins and provides a measure of how distant a site is inside or, importantly, outside the niche. Besides many applications in research in ecology and evolution, NMI as a measure of native climatic niche-matching in risk assessments could improve efforts to prevent invasions and avoid costly eradications.

Indexed as

ClimateIntroduced SpeciesMammalsModels, BiologicalAnimalsBayes TheoremDatabases, FactualEcosystemPopulation Dynamics

Identifiers

PMID33883555
PMCPMC8060396

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.