Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33876741›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2021

Potential ecological impacts of climate intervention by reflecting sunlight to cool Earth.

Phoebe L Zarnetske, Jessica Gurevitch, Janet Franklin, Peter M Groffman, Cheryl S Harrison, Jessica J Hellmann, Forrest M Hoffman, Shan Kothari, Alan Robock, Simone Tilmes and 4 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
10.6field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 120 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Robust Solar Radiation Modification Strategy for Achieving Temperature Targets.Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Environmental consequences of interacting effects of changes in stratospheric ozone, ultraviolet radiation, and climate: UNEP Environmental Effects Assessment Panel, Update 2024.Photochemical & photobiological sciences : Official journal of the European Photochemistry Association and the European Society for Photobiology · 2025
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Interactive effects of changes in UV radiation and climate on terrestrial ecosystems, biogeochemical cycles, and feedbacks to the climate system.Photochemical & photobiological sciences : Official journal of the European Photochemistry Association and the European Society for Photobiology · 2023
    Article
  6. Review
  7. Environmental effects of stratospheric ozone depletion, UV radiation, and interactions with climate change: UNEP Environmental Effects Assessment Panel, Update 2021.Photochemical & photobiological sciences : Official journal of the European Photochemistry Association and the European Society for Photobiology · 2022
    Article
  8. Opinion: To assess marine cloud brightening's technical feasibility, we need to know what to study-and when to stop.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022
    Article
  9. Mission-driven research for stratospheric aerosol geoengineering.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2019
    Article
  10. Solar geoengineering as part of an overall strategy for meeting the 1.5°C Paris target.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2018
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors at 12 institutions in 3 countries.

Phoebe L ZarnetskeDepartment of Integrative Biology, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI 48824.ORCID 0000-0001-6257-6951
Jessica GurevitchDepartment of Ecology and Evolution, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY 11794-5245.ORCID 0000-0003-0157-4332
Janet FranklinDepartment of Botany and Plant Sciences, University of California, Riverside, CA 92521; jfrankl@ucr.edu.ORCID 0000-0003-0314-4598
Peter M GroffmanAdvanced Science Research Center at the Graduate Center, City University of New York, New York, NY 10031.ORCID 0000-0001-8371-6255
Cheryl S HarrisonSchool of Earth Environmental and Marine Science, University of Texas Rio Grande Valley, Edinburg, TX 78539.ORCID 0000-0003-4544-947X
Jessica J HellmannInstitute on the Environment, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN 55108.ORCID 0000-0002-4961-0841
Forrest M HoffmanComputational Earth Sciences Group, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN 37831.ORCID 0000-0001-5802-4134
Shan KothariDepartment of Plant and Microbial Biology, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN 55108.
Alan RobockDepartment of Environmental Sciences, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ 08901-8551.ORCID 0000-0002-6319-5656
Simone TilmesAtmospheric Chemistry, Observations, and Modeling Laboratory, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO 80301.
Daniele VisioniSibley School of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, 14850.ORCID 0000-0002-7342-2189
Jin WuDivision of Ecology and Biodiversity, School of Biological Sciences, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.ORCID 0000-0001-8991-3970
Lili XiaDepartment of Environmental Sciences, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ 08901-8551.ORCID 0000-0001-7821-9756
Cheng-En YangDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN 37996.ORCID 0000-0002-4069-4997
Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey · USUniversity of Minnesota · USCornell University · USMichigan State University · USNSF National Center for Atmospheric Research · USOak Ridge National Laboratory · USStony Brook University · USThe Graduate Center, CUNY · USThe University of Texas Rio Grande Valley · USUniversity of California, Riverside · USUniversity of Hong Kong · HKUniversity of Tennessee at Knoxville · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

As the effects of anthropogenic climate change become more severe, several approaches for deliberate climate intervention to reduce or stabilize Earth's surface temperature have been proposed. Solar radiation modification (SRM) is one potential approach to partially counteract anthropogenic warming by reflecting a small proportion of the incoming solar radiation to increase Earth's albedo. While climate science research has focused on the predicted climate effects of SRM, almost no studies have investigated the impacts that SRM would have on ecological systems. The impacts and risks posed by SRM would vary by implementation scenario, anthropogenic climate effects, geographic region, and by ecosystem, community, population, and organism. Complex interactions among Earth's climate system and living systems would further affect SRM impacts and risks. We focus here on stratospheric aerosol intervention (SAI), a well-studied and relatively feasible SRM scheme that is likely to have a large impact on Earth's surface temperature. We outline current gaps in knowledge about both helpful and harmful predicted effects of SAI on ecological systems. Desired ecological outcomes might also inform development of future SAI implementation scenarios. In addition to filling these knowledge gaps, increased collaboration between ecologists and climate scientists would identify a common set of SAI research goals and improve the communication about potential SAI impacts and risks with the public. Without this collaboration, forecasts of SAI impacts will overlook potential effects on biodiversity and ecosystem services for humanity.

Indexed as

anthropogenic climate changebiodiversityecosystemsolar radiation modificationstratospheric aerosol intervention

Identifiers

PMID33876741
PMCPMC8053992
OpenAlexW3145236039

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.