Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33876216›Full record

ArticleJournal of the National Cancer Institute2021

Real-World Effectiveness of Human Papillomavirus Vaccination Against Cervical Cancer.

Susanne K Kjaer, Christian Dehlendorff, Federica Belmonte, Louise Baandrup

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the National Cancer Institute, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 153 papers, 9 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
153citing papers in PubMed, 9 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

153 citing papers in PubMed, 9 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  18. [Vaccine prevention of HPV-associated diseases].Dermatologie (Heidelberg, Germany) · 2026
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  20. Observational

93 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Susanne K KjaerUnit of Virus, Lifestyle and Genes, Danish Cancer Society Research Center, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Christian DehlendorffStatistics and Data Analysis, Danish Cancer Society Research Center, Copenhagen, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0001-6161-4565
Federica BelmonteStatistics and Data Analysis, Danish Cancer Society Research Center, Copenhagen, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0002-2920-5005
Louise BaandrupUnit of Virus, Lifestyle and Genes, Danish Cancer Society Research Center, Copenhagen, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0002-5773-5169

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe primary goal of human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination is to reduce morbidity and mortality from HPV-associated disease, especially cervical cancer. We determined the real-world effectiveness of HPV vaccination against cervical cancer.

methodsThe study included women aged 17-30 years living in Denmark October 2006-December 2019. From nationwide registries, information on HPV vaccination and cervical cancer diagnoses were retrieved. Incidence rate ratios (IRRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for cervical cancer according to vaccination status were estimated using Poisson regression with HPV vaccination treated as a time-varying variable and stratified by age at vaccination. We adjusted for attained age, education, and ethnicity. To address the effect of prevalent disease, different buffer periods were used, with 1-year buffer period as primary analysis.

resultsThe cohort comprised 867 689 women. At baseline, 36.3% were vaccinated at age 16 years and younger, and during follow-up, 19.3% and 2.3% were vaccinated at ages 17-19 years and 20-30 years, respectively. For women vaccinated at ages 16 years and younger or 17-19 years, the IRRs of cervical cancer were 0.14 (95% CI = 0.04 to 0.53) and 0.32 (95% CI = 0.08 to 1.28), respectively, compared with unvaccinated women. In women aged 20-30 years at vaccination, the incidence rate was higher than among unvaccinated women (IRR = 1.19, 95% CI = 0.80 to 1.79) but slightly decreased with increasing buffer period (IRR = 0.85, 95% CI = 0.55 to 1.32, with 4-year buffer period).

conclusionHPV vaccine effectiveness against cervical cancer at the population level is high among girls vaccinated younger than age 20 years. The lack of immediate effect in women vaccinated at age 20-30 years points to the importance of early age at vaccination.

Indexed as

AlphapapillomavirusPapillomavirus InfectionsPapillomavirus VaccinesUterine Cervical NeoplasmsAdolescentAdultFemaleHumansVaccinationYoung AdultPapillomavirus Vaccines

Identifiers

PMID33876216
PMCPMC8486335

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.