Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33874944›Full record

ArticleBMC medical informatics and decision making2021

Prediction of neonatal deaths in NICUs: development and validation of machine learning models.

Abbas Sheikhtaheri, Mohammad Reza Zarkesh, Raheleh Moradi, Farzaneh Kermani

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Article in BMC medical informatics and decision making, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 35 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
35citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

35 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  4. [Establishment of a predictive nomogram model for predicting the death of very preterm infants during hospitalization].Zhongguo dang dai er ke za zhi = Chinese journal of contemporary pediatrics · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Abbas SheikhtaheriHealth Management and Economics Research Center, School of Health Management and Information Sciences, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.ORCID 0000-0002-6879-5415
Mohammad Reza ZarkeshMaternal, Fetal and Neonatal Research Center, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.ORCID 0000-0002-7210-6803
Raheleh MoradiFamily Health Institute, Maternal, Fetal and Neonatal Research Center, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.ORCID 0000-0002-4841-5665
Farzaneh KermaniHealth Information Technology Department, School of Allied Medical Sciences, Semnan University of Medical Sciences, Semnan, Iran. f-kermani@semums.ac.ir.ORCID 0000-0002-6013-2940

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPrediction of neonatal deaths in NICUs is important for benchmarking and evaluating healthcare services in NICUs. Application of machine learning techniques can improve physicians' ability to predict the neonatal deaths. The aim of this study was to present a neonatal death risk prediction model using machine learning techniques.

methodsThis study was conducted in Tehran, Iran in two phases. Initially, important risk factors in neonatal death were identified and then several machine learning models including Artificial Neural Network (ANN), decision tree (Random Forest (RF), C5.0 and CHART tree), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Bayesian Network and Ensemble models were developed. Finally, we prospectively applied these models to predict neonatal death in a NICU and followed up the neonates to compare the outcomes of these neonates with real outcomes.

results17 factors were considered important in neonatal mortality prediction. The highest Area Under the Curve (AUC) was achieved for the SVM and Ensemble models with 0.98. The best precision and specificity were 0.98 and 0.94, respectively for the RF model. The highest accuracy, sensitivity and F-score were achieved for the SVM model with 0.94, 0.95 and 0.96, respectively. The best performance of models in prospective evaluation was for the ANN, C5.0 and CHAID tree models.

conclusionUsing the developed machine learning models can help physicians predict the neonatal deaths in NICUs.

Indexed as

Perinatal DeathBayes TheoremHumansInfant, NewbornIntensive Care Units, NeonatalIranMachine LearningProspective StudiesSupport Vector MachineDeathMachine learningNeonatePrediction

Identifiers

PMID33874944
PMCPMC8056638

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.