Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33871926›Full record

ArticleUnited European gastroenterology journal2021

Mortality in acute pancreatitis with persistent organ failure is determined by the number, type, and sequence of organ systems affected.

Jorge D Machicado, Amir Gougol, Xiaoqing Tan, Xiaotian Gao, Pedram Paragomi, Ioannis Pothoulakis, Rupjyoti Talukdar, Rakesh Kochhar, Mahesh K Goenka, Aiste Gulla and 21 more

Open access · hybridAbstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in United European gastroenterology journal, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
29citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
6.5field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

29 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 50 citations in OpenAlex.

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  13. Acute pancreatitis: Translating early mechanisms to bedside management.Indian journal of gastroenterology : official journal of the Indian Society of Gastroenterology · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

31 authors at 20 institutions in 10 countries.

Jorge D MachicadoMayo Clinic Heath System, Eau Claire, Wisconsin, USA.
Amir GougolUniversity of Pittsburgh Medical Center, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA.
Xiaoqing TanDepartment of Biostatistics, Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA.
Xiaotian GaoDepartment of Biostatistics, Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA.
Pedram ParagomiUniversity of Pittsburgh Medical Center, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA.
Ioannis PothoulakisUniversity of Pittsburgh Medical Center, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3084-8577
Rupjyoti TalukdarAsian Gastroenterology Institute, Hyderabad, India.
Rakesh KochharPostgraduate Institute of Medical Education and Research, Chandigarh, India.
Mahesh K GoenkaApollo Gleneagles Hospitals Kolkata, Kolkata, India.
Aiste GullaInstitute of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Vilnius University, Vilnius, Lithuania.
Jose A GonzalezUniversidad Autónoma de Nueva León, Monterrey, Mexico.
Vikesh K SinghJohns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Miguel FerreiraHospital Nacional de Itauguá, Itaugua, Paraguay.
Tyler StevensCleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio, USA.
Sorin T BarbuUniversity of Medicine and Pharmacy "Iuliu Hatieganu", Cluj-Napoca, Romania.
Haq NawazEastern Maine Medical Center, Bangor, Maine, USA.
Silvia C GutierrezHospital Nacional "Profesor Alejandro Posadas", Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Narcis O Zarnescu"Carol Davila" University of Medicine and Pharmacy, University Emergency Hospital, Bucharest, Romania.
Gabriele CapursoSan Raffaele Scientific Institute (IRCCS), Vita Salute San Raffaele University, Milan, Italy.
Jeffrey J EaslerIndiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis, Indiana, USA.
Konstantinos TriantafyllouAttikon University General Hospital, Athens, Greece.
Mario Pelaez-LunaInstituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubirán-Universidad Autónoma de Mexico, Mexico City, Mexico.
Shyam ThakkarAllegheny Health Network, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA.
Carlos OcampoHospital General de Argudos "Dr. Cosme Argerich", Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Enrique de-MadariaGastroenterology Department, Alicante University General Hospital, ISABIAL, Alicante, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-2412-9541
Gregory A CoteMedical University of South Carolina, Charleston, South Carolina, USA.
Bechien U WuKaiser Permanente, Los Angeles, California, USA.
Darwin L ConwellThe Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center, Columbus, Ohio, USA.
Phil A HartThe Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center, Columbus, Ohio, USA.
Gong TangDepartment of Biostatistics, Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA.
Georgios I PapachristouUniversity of Pittsburgh Medical Center, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA.
The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center · USUniversity of Pittsburgh · USUniversity of Pittsburgh Medical Center · USAllegheny Health Network · USApollo Gleneagles Hospitals · INArgerich Hospital · ARAsian Institute of Gastroenterology · INCarol Davila University of Medicine and Pharmacy · ROCleveland Clinic · USEastern Maine Medical Center · USHospital General Universitario de Alicante Doctor Balmis · ESHospital Posadas · ARIndiana University School of MedicineInstituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubirán · MXIuliu Hațieganu University of Medicine and Pharmacy · ROJohns Hopkins University · USKaiser Permanente · USMayo Clinic Health System · USMedical University of South Carolina · USPost Graduate Institute of Medical Education and Research · IN

Funding

Proteomics CoreP30DK123704 · NIDDK · MEDICAL UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH CAROLINA · PI DON C. ROCKEY · 2020 to 2026
$8.8M
NIDDK NIH HHS P30 DK123704
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPersistent organ failure (POF) is the strongest determinant of mortality in acute pancreatitis (AP). There is a paucity of data regarding the impact of different POF attributes on mortality and the role of different characteristics of systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) in the risk of developing POF.

objectiveWe aimed to assess the association of POF dynamic features with mortality and SIRS characteristics with POF.

methodsWe studied 1544 AP subjects prospectively enrolled at 22 international centers (APPRENTICE consortium). First, we estimated the association of onset, duration, and maximal score of SIRS with POF. Then, we evaluated the risk of mortality based on POF onset, duration, number, type, and sequence of organs affected. Analyses were adjusted for potential confounders.

results58% had SIRS, 11% developed POF, and 2.5% died. Early SIRS, persistent SIRS, and maximal SIRS score ≥ 3 were independently associated with higher risk of POF (p < 0.05). Mortality risk in POF was higher with two (33%, odds ratio [OR] = 10.8, 3.3-34.9) and three (48%, OR = 20.2, 5.9-68.6) organs failing, in comparison to single POF (4%). In subjects with multiple POF, mortality was higher when the cardiovascular and respiratory systems failed first or concurrently as compared to when the renal system failed first or concurrently with other organ (p < 0.05). In multivariate regression model, the number and sequence of organs affected in POF were associated with mortality (p < 0.05). Onset and duration of POF had no impact mortality.

conclusionIn AP patients with POF, the risk of mortality is influenced by the number, type, and sequence of organs affected. These results are useful for future revisions of AP severity classification systems.

Indexed as

Disease ProgressionFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedMultiple Organ FailurePancreatitisProspective StudiesRisk FactorsSeverity of Illness IndexSystemic Inflammatory Response Syndromeacute pancreatitismortalitynatural historyorgan failuresystemic inflammatory response syndrome, severe acute pancreatitis

Identifiers

PMID33871926
PMCPMC8259236
OpenAlexW3156037271

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.