Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33871601›Full record

ArticleThe American journal of clinical nutrition2021

Pathways to "5-a-day": modeling the health impacts and environmental footprints of meeting the target for fruit and vegetable intake in the United Kingdom.

Patricia Eustachio Colombo, James Milner, Pauline F D Scheelbeek, Anna Taylor, Alexandr Parlesak, Thomas Kastner, Owen Nicholas, Liselotte S Elinder, Alan D Dangour, Rosemary Green

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The American journal of clinical nutrition, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Patricia Eustachio ColomboDepartment of Global Public Health, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-8505-116X
James MilnerCentre on Climate Change and Planetary Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-0304-639X
Pauline F D ScheelbeekCentre on Climate Change and Planetary Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-6209-2284
Anna TaylorThe Food Foundation, London, United Kingdom.
Alexandr ParlesakGlobal Nutrition and Health, University College Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0002-8973-3467
Thomas KastnerSenckenberg Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre, Frankfurt, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-8155-136X
Owen NicholasDepartment of Statistical Science, University College London, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-0939-4283
Liselotte S ElinderDepartment of Global Public Health, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0001-7270-1162
Alan D DangourCentre on Climate Change and Planetary Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-6908-1273
Rosemary GreenCentre on Climate Change and Planetary Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-5850-6715

Funding

Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust 205200/Z/6/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundFruit and vegetable consumption in the United Kingdom is currently well below recommended levels, with a significant associated public health burden. The United Kingdom has committed to reducing its carbon emissions to net zero by 2050, and this transition will require shifts towards plant-based diets.

objectiveThe aim was to quantify the health effects, environmental footprints, and cost associated with 4 different pathways to meeting the United Kingdom's "5-a-day" recommendation for fruit and vegetable consumption.

methodsDietary data based on 18,006 food diaries from 4528 individuals participating in the UK National Diet and Nutrition Survey (2012/13-2016/17) constituted the baseline diet. Linear programming was used to model the hypothetical adoption of the 5-a-day (400 g) recommendation, which was assessed according to 4 pathways differing in their prioritization of fruits versus vegetables and UK-produced versus imported varieties. Increases in fruit and vegetable consumption were substituted for consumption of sweet snacks and meat, respectively. Changes in life expectancy were assessed using the IOMLIFET life table model. Greenhouse gas emissions (GHGEs), blue water footprint (WF), and total diet cost were quantified for each 5-a-day diet.

resultsAchieving the 5-a-day target in the United Kingdom could increase average life expectancy at birth by 7-8 mo and reduce diet-related GHGEs by 6.1 to 12.2 Mt carbon dioxide equivalents/y; blue WFs would change by -0.14 to +0.07 km3/y. Greater reductions in GHGEs were achieved by prioritizing increased vegetable consumption over fruit, whereas the greatest reduction in WF was obtained by prioritizing vegetable varieties produced in the United Kingdom. All consumption pathways increased diet cost (£0.34-£0.46/d).

conclusionsBenefits to both population and environmental health could be expected from consumption pathways that meet the United Kingdom's 5-a-day target for fruit and vegetables. Our analysis identifies cross-sectoral trade-offs and opportunities for national policy to promote fruit and vegetable consumption in the United Kingdom.

Indexed as

Diet SurveysEnvironmentFruitGreenhouse GasesVegetablesDietFoodHumansLongevityUnited KingdomGreenhouse Gasesdietary patternsdiet costhealth impact assessmenthealth promotionnutritionplanetary health

Identifiers

PMID33871601
PMCPMC8326030

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.