ArticleTransport policy2021
Assessing regional risk of COVID-19 infection from Wuhan via high-speed rail.
Article in Transport policy, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.
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Who cites it
13 citing papers in PubMed.
- Interregional mobility in different age groups is associated with COVID-19 transmission in the Taipei metropolitan area, Taiwan.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- A multiple criteria approach for building a pandemic impact assessment composite indicator: The case of COVID-19 in Portugal.European journal of operational research · 2023Article
- Evaluating the Impact of the Pandemic Crisis on the Aviation Industry.Transportation research record · 2023Article
- Study on the regional risk classification method for the prevention and control of emerging infectious diseases based on directed graph theory.Frontiers in public health · 2023Article
- High-Speed railways and the spread of Covid-19.Travel behaviour & society · 2023Article
- Exploring the Impact of Localized COVID-19 Events on Intercity Mobility during the Normalized Prevention and Control Period in China.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Air Pollution Increased the Demand for Gym Sports under COVID-19: Evidence from Beijing, China.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- High-speed railway and the intercity transmission of epidemics: Evidence from COVID-19 in China.Economic modelling · 2022Article
- Investigating factors influencing takeout shopping demand under COVID-19: Generalized additive mixed models.Transportation research. Part D, Transport and environment · 2022Article
- Air transportation as a puzzle piece of COVID-19 in Africa?Research in transportation business & management · 2022Article
- The effects of Wuhan highway lockdown measures on the spread of COVID-19 in China.Transport policy · 2022Article
- Aerosol transmission in passenger car cabins: Effects of ventilation configuration and driving speed.Physics of fluids (Woodbury, N.Y. : 1994) · 2022Article
- A topology-based evaluation of resilience on urban road networks against epidemic spread: Implications for COVID-19 responses.Frontiers in public health · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
This paper demonstrates that transportation networks may be used to assess and predict the regional risk of COVID-19 infection from the outbreak. We use China's high-speed rail (HSR) network at the scale of prefecture level to assess, based on a probabilistic risk model, the risk of COVID-19 infection from Wuhan to the country's 31 province-level regions at the early stage of domestic spread. We find that the high-risk regions are mainly distributed along the southern half of Beijing-Hong Kong HSR line, where a large number of infection cases have been confirmed at the early stage. Furthermore, the two components of the infection risk, namely, the probability (proxied by the region's correlation with Wuhan through HSR) and the impact (proxied by the region's population with mobility), can play different roles in the risk ranking for different regions. For public health administrators, these findings may be used for better decision making, including the preparation of emergency plans and supplies, and the allocation of limited resources, before the extensive spread of the epidemic. Moreover, the administrators should adopt different intervention measures for different regions, so as to better mitigate the epidemic spread according to their own risk scenarios with respect to the probability of occurring and, once occurred, the impact.
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