Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33867134›Full record

ArticleISA transactions2022

On the fractional SIRD mathematical model and control for the transmission of COVID-19: The first and the second waves of the disease in Iran and Japan.

Hakimeh Mohammadi, Shahram Rezapour, Amin Jajarmi

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Article in ISA transactions, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Hakimeh MohammadiDepartment of Mathematics, Miandoab Branch, Islamic Azad University, Miandoab, Iran.
Shahram RezapourDepartment of Mathematics, Azarbaijan Shahid Madani University, Tabriz, Iran; Department of Medical Research, China Medical University Hospital, China Medical University, Taichung, Taiwan. Electronic address: rezapourshahram@yahoo.ca.
Amin JajarmiDepartment of Electrical Engineering, University of Bojnord, P.O. Box, 94531-1339, Bojnord, Iran; Department of Mathematics, Near East University TRNC, Mersin 10, Turkey.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In this paper, a fractional-order SIRD mathematical model is presented with Caputo derivative for the transmission of COVID-19 between humans. We calculate the steady-states of the system and discuss their stability. We also discuss the existence and uniqueness of a non-negative solution for the system under study. Additionally, we obtain an approximate response by implementing the fractional Euler method. Next, we investigate the first and the second waves of the disease in Iran and Japan; then we give a prediction concerning the second wave of the disease. We display the numerical simulations for different derivative orders in order to evaluate the efficacy of the fractional concept on the system behaviors. We also calculate the optimal control of the system and display its numerical simulations.

Indexed as

COVID-19Basic Reproduction NumberHumansIranJapanModels, TheoreticalCOVID-19Fractional SIRD modelOptimal controlPredictionReproduction number

Identifiers

PMID33867134
PMCPMC8035661

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.