Diagnostic performance of adult-based ATA and ACR-TIRADS ultrasound risk stratification systems in pediatric thyroid nodules: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

objectivesTo evaluate the diagnostic performance of adult-based "American College of Radiology- Thyroid Imaging Reporting And Data System" (ACR-TIRADS) and "American Thyroid Association" (ATA) in the pediatric population.

methodsMEDLINE/PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science databases were searched for articles investigating the diagnostic performance of each stratification system (ACR-TIRADS or ATA) and evaluated them according to three aspects: (a) the risk of malignancy in each category; (b) diagnostic performance using the classic indicators (sensitivity, specificity); and (c) diagnostic performance regarding fine needle aspiration/biopsy recommendation. In addition to pathologic diagnosis, we allowed imaging follow-up as the reference standard for benign nodules.

resultsEight articles (1036 thyroid nodules) were included. For ACR-TIRADS, the pooled risk of malignancy in category was as follows: category 5 (59.3%); 4 (20.7%); 3 (11.0%); 2 (6.0%), and 1 (5.5%). For nodules of high suspicion of malignancy (category 4 or 5), the pooled sensitivity and specificity were 0.84 and 0.64. For ATA, the pooled risk of malignancy was as follows: category 5 (55.4%); 4 (34.2%); 3 (12.2%); and 2 (7.5%). For nodules of high suspicion of malignancy (category 4 or 5), the pooled sensitivity and specificity were 0.90 and 0.50. For category 5 nodules, the pooled specificity was significantly higher in ACR-TIRADS (p = 0.02). For ACR-TIRADS, the missed malignancy rate was 21.7% and the unnecessary biopsy rate was 62.7%. Information was not sufficient for this calculation with ATA.

conclusionsThe diagnostic performance of ACR-TIRADS and ATA in the pediatric population was somewhat modest. Large studies are mandatory for further validation and future amendments. KEY POINTS: • The pooled sensitivity and specificity for highly suspicious nodules (category 4 or 5) for ACR-TIRADS were 0.84 and 0.64, and for ATA were 0.90 and 0.50, respectively. • When applying ACR-TIRADS for children, the pooled missed malignancy rate (21.7%) and unnecessary biopsy rates (62.7%) are still reasonably high. Insufficient information was available to perform these calculations for the ATA system. • Current risk stratification systems, especially ACR-TIRADS, require modification by focusing more on increasing the sensitivity and decreasing the missed malignancy rate. Lowering size cut-off for biopsy would be a reasonable option.