ArticleScientific reports2021
Climate change and specialty coffee potential in Ethiopia.
Article in Scientific reports, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.
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Who cites it
16 citing papers in PubMed.
- Perceived Value in Specialty Coffee: A Means-End Chain Model Applied in the Brazilian Context.Foods (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Article
- Explainable Artificial Intelligence for Coffee Quality Control: From Coffee Origins to Aroma Intensity.Foods (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Article
- Assessing habitat selection parameters of Arabica coffee using BWM and BCM methods based on GIS.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Genetic basis of phenotypic diversity inFrontiers in genetics · 2025Article
- Enhancing Coffee Agroforestry Systems Suitability Using Geospatial Analysis and Sentinel Satellite Data in Gedeo Zone, Ethiopia.Sensors (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Article
- Organic amendment composition and sowing depth in coffee Arabica: Effects on seedling growth biometrics.Heliyon · 2024Article
- Analysis of current and future bioclimatic suitability for C. arabica production in Ethiopia.PloS one · 2024Article
- Restoring Ampicillin Sensitivity in Multidrug-ResistantJournal of microbiology and biotechnology · 2023Article
- Article
- Genomic Evaluation ofPlants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023Article
- Article
- A Systematic Review on the Impacts of Climate Change on Coffee Agrosystems.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Review
- Ecology, evolution, and conservation of Ethiopia's biodiversity.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022Article
- Influence of pre-and post-harvest factors on the organoleptic and physicochemical quality of coffee: a short review.Journal of food science and technology · 2022Review
- Potential Antimicrobial Properties of Coffee Beans and Coffee By-Products Against Drug-ResistantFrontiers in nutrition · 2022Article
- Climate suitability predictions for the cultivation of macadamia (Macadamia integrifolia) in Malawi using climate change scenarios.PloS one · 2021Article
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Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Current climate change impact studies on coffee have not considered impact on coffee typicities that depend on local microclimatic, topographic and soil characteristics. Thus, this study aims to provide a quantitative risk assessment of the impact of climate change on suitability of five premium specialty coffees in Ethiopia. We implement an ensemble model of three machine learning algorithms to predict current and future (2030s, 2050s, 2070s, and 2090s) suitability for each specialty coffee under four Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs). Results show that the importance of variables determining coffee suitability in the combined model is different from those for specialty coffees despite the climatic factors remaining more important in determining suitability than topographic and soil variables. Our model predicts that 27% of the country is generally suitable for coffee, and of this area, only up to 30% is suitable for specialty coffees. The impact modelling showed that the combined model projects a net gain in coffee production suitability under climate change in general but losses in five out of the six modelled specialty coffee growing areas. We conclude that depending on drivers of suitability and projected impacts, climate change will significantly affect the Ethiopian speciality coffee sector and area-specific adaptation measures are required to build resilience.
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