ArticleScientific reports2021
A compartmental model that predicts the effect of social distancing and vaccination on controlling COVID-19.
Article in Scientific reports, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 39 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
39 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 102 citations in OpenAlex.
- A scoping review of COVID-19 modelling studies in Belgium 2020-2024: incorporation of behaviour and lessons learned.Archives of public health = Archives belges de sante publique · 2026Pooled it
- Explaining complex dynamical systems using conditional SHAP analysis with application to multi-variant epidemic dynamics.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Learned behavioral avoidance can alter outbreak dynamics in a model for waterborne infectious diseases.Journal of mathematical biology · 2025Article
- Urban environmental and population factors as determinants of COVID-19 severity: A spatially-resolved probabilistic modeling approach.PLOS digital health · 2025Article
- Kalman Filter-Based Epidemiological Model for Post-COVID-19 Era Surveillance and Prediction.Sensors (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Article
- A novel approach to forecasting reproduction numbers of spatiotemporal stochastic epidemic spread using a PDE-based model and real-time infection data.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- An Epidemic Model with Infection Age and Vaccination Age Structure.Infectious disease reports · 2024Article
- Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible type COVID-19 spread with collective effects.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Pharmaceutical and non-pharmaceutical interventions for controlling the COVID-19 pandemic.Royal Society open science · 2023Article
- A comparative study of compartmental models for COVID-19 transmission in Ontario, Canada.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Time delay of the appearance of a new strain can affect vaccination behavior and disease dynamics: An evolutionary explanation.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2023Article
- Response Strategies for Emerging Infectious Diseases: More Efforts Are Needed.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2023Article
- Interval type-2 Fuzzy control and stochastic modeling of COVID-19 spread based on vaccination and social distancing rates.Computer methods and programs in biomedicine · 2023Article
- Modeling the Spread of COVID-19 with the Control of Mixed Vaccine Types during the Pandemic in Thailand.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2023Article
- Article
- Using digital traces to build prospective and real-time county-level early warning systems to anticipate COVID-19 outbreaks in the United States.Science advances · 2023Article
- Lag-time effects of vaccination on SARS-CoV-2 dynamics in German hospitals and intensive-care units.Frontiers in public health · 2023Article
- Efficient social distancing during the COVID-19 pandemic: Integrating economic and public health considerations.European journal of operational research · 2023Article
- A stochastic inventory model of COVID-19 and robust, real-time identification of carriers at large and infection rate via asymptotic laws.European journal of operational research · 2023Article
- Real-World COVID-19 Vaccine Protection Rates against Infection in the Delta and Omicron Eras.Research (Washington, D.C.) · 2023Article
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Authors and funding
2 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.
Funding
Abstract
The understanding of the interaction between disease dynamics and human behavior is an important and essential point to control infectious. Disease outbreak can be influenced by social distancing and vaccination. In this study, we introduce two compartmental models to derive the epidemic curve and analyze the individual's behavior in spreading and controlling the COVID-19 epidemic. The first model includes Susceptible, Exposed, Infectious, Hospitalized, Recovered and Death compartments and in the second model, we added a new compartment namely, semi-susceptible individuals that are assumed to be more immune than the susceptible. A comparison of the two models shows that the second model provides a better fit to the daily infected cases from Egypt, Belgium, Japan, Nigeria, Italy, and Germany released by WHO. Finally, we added a vaccinated term to the model to predict how vaccination could control the epidemic. The model was applied on the record data from WHO.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.