ArticleNature communications2021
Male fertility thermal limits predict vulnerability to climate warming.
Article in Nature communications, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 62 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
62 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Predicting the Effects of Climate Change on the Fertility of Aquatic Animals Using a Meta-Analytic Approach.Ecology letters · 2025Pooled it
- Microbiome-mediated resilience and cross-generational consequences in male Drosophila exposed to combined environmental stressors.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2026Article
- Adaptive introgression between two Drosophila species enhances heat tolerance despite barriers to gene flow.PLoS biology · 2026Article
- Temperature-sensitive cytoplasmic incompatibility across divergent Wolbachia partly reflects cifB transcription, not endosymbiont density.Molecular biology and evolution · 2026Article
- A roadmap to key traits of invasive Drosophilidae.Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society · 2026Review
- Early photoperiodic cues modulate capacity for adult cold tolerance in the yellow fever mosquito Aedes aegypti.The Journal of experimental biology · 2026Article
- Nesting behaviour predicts heat tolerance evolution and climate vulnerability in bees.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Integrating Physiological Rates of Thermal Stress and Repair Predicts Heat Failure During Temperature Fluctuations.Ecology letters · 2026Article
- Temperature-sensitive cytoplasmic incompatibility across divergentbioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026Article
- Parallel clines of chromosomal inversion frequencies in seaweed flies are associated with thermal variation.Heredity · 2026Article
- Insecticide Resistance Alters Oviposition Preference inEcology and evolution · 2026Article
- When is RCH not RCH? Rapid cold hardening has steep temperature thresholds inducing high survival but low fertility resilience to cold stress.The Journal of experimental biology · 2026Article
- Heat but Not Cold Tolerance Is Phylogenetically Constrained in Greenlandic Terrestrial Arthropods Under Future Global Warming.Global change biology · 2026Article
- Reproductive physiological impacts of high ambient temperature on animals: the impaired testicular function and compromised sperm quality in C57BL/6 mice.Biological research · 2025Article
- Facultative polyandry under heat stress and the evolutionary potential for climate-driven shifts in mating systems.Heredity · 2025Article
- Cryptic Reproductive Costs of Heatwaves for Animal Populations.Global change biology · 2025Review
- Carryover Effects on Reproduction Can Buffer Against Mortality-Driven Population Declines at Elevated Developmental Temperatures.Ecology letters · 2025Article
- Thermal Adaptation inInsects · 2025Review
- Phenotypic plasticity underlies seasonal and latitudinal variation in thermal tolerance in a native bee.Ecology · 2025Article
- No Evidence of Sexually Antagonistic Coevolution in Drosophila Reproductive Tract Transcriptomes.Molecular biology and evolution · 2025Article
2 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
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Authors and funding
2 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Forecasting which species/ecosystems are most vulnerable to climate warming is essential to guide conservation strategies to minimize extinction. Tropical/mid-latitude species are predicted to be most at risk as they live close to their upper critical thermal limits (CTLs). However, these assessments assume that upper CTL estimates, such as CTmax, are accurate predictors of vulnerability and ignore the potential for evolution to ameliorate temperature increases. Here, we use experimental evolution to assess extinction risk and adaptation in tropical and widespread Drosophila species. We find tropical species succumb to extinction before widespread species. Male fertility thermal limits, which are much lower than CTmax, are better predictors of species' current distributions and extinction in the laboratory. We find little evidence of adaptive responses to warming in any species. These results suggest that species are living closer to their upper thermal limits than currently presumed and evolution/plasticity are unlikely to rescue populations from extinction.
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