Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33848621›Full record

ArticleNeuroImage2021

Resample aggregating improves the generalizability of connectome predictive modeling.

David O'Connor, Evelyn M R Lake, Dustin Scheinost, R Todd Constable

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in NeuroImage, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Representing Brain-Behavior Associations by Retaining High-Motion Minoritized Youth.Biological psychiatry. Cognitive neuroscience and neuroimaging · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Current best practices and future opportunities for reproducible findings using large-scale neuroimaging in psychiatry.Neuropsychopharmacology : official publication of the American College of Neuropsychopharmacology · 2024
    Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

David O'ConnorDepartment of Biomedical Engineering, Yale University, United States. Electronic address: dave.oconnor@yale.edu.
Evelyn M R LakeDepartment of Radiology and Biomedical Imaging, Yale School of Medicine, United States.
Dustin ScheinostDepartment of Biomedical Engineering, Yale University, United States; Department of Radiology and Biomedical Imaging, Yale School of Medicine, United States; Deparment of Statistics & Data Science, Yale University, United States; Child Study Center, Yale School of Medicine, United States.
R Todd ConstableDepartment of Biomedical Engineering, Yale University, United States; Department of Radiology and Biomedical Imaging, Yale School of Medicine, United States; Department of Neurosurgery, Yale School of Medicine, United States.

Funding

Yale Clinical and Translational Science Award (U Component)UL1TR001863 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI John H. Krystal, LUCILA OHNO-MACHADO · 2016 to 2026
$102.9M
Mapping the Human Connectome: Structure, Function, and HeritabilityU54MH091657 · NIMH · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI UGURBIL, KAMIL, VAN ESSEN, DAVID C · 2010 to 2014
$34.7M
Neurodevelopmental Genomics: Trajectories of Complex PhenotypesRC2MH089983 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI GUR, RAQUEL E · 2009 to 2011
$14.3M
2/2 Neurodevelopmental Genomics: Trajectories of Complex PhenotypesRC2MH089924 · NIMH · CHILDREN'S HOSP OF PHILADELPHIA · PI HAKONARSON, HAKON · 2009 to 2011
$10.7M
An Individualized, Multidimensional Dimensional Approach to PsychopathologyR01MH121095 · NIMH · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI CONSTABLE, R TODD, SCHEINOST, DUSTIN · 2019 to 2023
$4.2M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001863NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH121095NIMH NIH HHS RC2 MH089924NIMH NIH HHS RC2 MH089983NIMH NIH HHS U54 MH091657
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

It is a longstanding goal of neuroimaging to produce reliable, generalizable models of brain behavior relationships. More recently, data driven predictive models have become popular. However, overfitting is a common problem with statistical models, which impedes model generalization. Cross validation (CV) is often used to estimate expected model performance within sample. Yet, the best way to generate brain behavior models, and apply them out-of-sample, on an unseen dataset, is unclear. As a solution, this study proposes an ensemble learning method, in this case resample aggregating, encompassing both model parameter estimation and feature selection. Here we investigate the use of resampled aggregated models when used to estimate fluid intelligence (fIQ) from fMRI based functional connectivity (FC) data. We take advantage of two large openly available datasets, the Human Connectome Project (HCP), and the Philadelphia Neurodevelopmental Cohort (PNC). We generate aggregated and non-aggregated models of fIQ in the HCP, using the Connectome Prediction Modelling (CPM) framework. Over various test-train splits, these models are evaluated in sample, on left-out HCP data, and out-of-sample, on PNC data. We find that a resample aggregated model performs best both within- and out-of-sample. We also find that feature selection can vary substantially within-sample. More robust feature selection methods, as detailed here, are needed to improve cross sample performance of CPM based brain behavior models.

Indexed as

Models, TheoreticalAdolescentAdultBrainChildConnectomeFemaleHumansIntelligenceMagnetic Resonance ImagingMaleYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID33848621
PMCPMC8282199

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.