Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33843462›Full record

ArticleGlobal public health

Big Events theory and measures may help explain emerging long-term effects of current crises.

Samuel R Friedman, Pedro Mateu-Gelabert, Georgios K Nikolopoulos, Magdalena Cerdá, Diana Rossi, Ashly E Jordan, Tarlise Townsend, Maria R Khan, David C Perlman

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Global public health. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed
7.0field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 41 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Socioenvironmental disasters and the dialectics of overdose mortality.The International journal on drug policy · 2026
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  7. Historical and theoretical roots of the big events framework.The International journal on drug policy · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 5 institutions in 3 countries.

Samuel R FriedmanNYU Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2083-1226
Pedro Mateu-GelabertGraduate School of Public Health and Health Policy, City University of New York, New York, NY, USA.
Georgios K NikolopoulosMedical School, University of Cyprus, Nicosia, Cyprus.
Magdalena CerdáNYU Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY, USA.
Diana RossiIntercambios Civil Association and University of Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Ashly E JordanGraduate School of Public Health and Health Policy, City University of New York, New York, NY, USA.
Tarlise TownsendNYU Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY, USA.
Maria R KhanNYU Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY, USA.
David C PerlmanMount Sinai Beth Israel and Center for Drug Use and HIV Research, New York, NY, USA.
New York University · USCity University of New York · USMount Sinai Beth Israel · USUniversidad de Buenos Aires · ARUniversity of Cyprus · CY

Funding

Transdisciplinary Theoretical Svnthesis and Development CoreP30DA011041 · NIDA · NEW YORK UNIVERSITY · PI Holly Hagan, Courtney McKnight · 1998 to 2026
$38.9M
BEHAVIORAL SCI TRAINING IN DRUG ABUSE RESEARCHT32DA007233 · NIDA · PUBLIC HEALTH SOLUTIONS · PI GOLDSAMT, LLOYD A · 1985 to 2023
$20.2M
New York University, City University of New York Health Promotion & Prevention ReU48DP005008 · DP · NEW YORK UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF MEDICINE · PI THORPE, LORNA, TRINH-SHEVRIN, CHAU · 2014 to 2018
$6.9M
Examining the Synergistic Effects of Cannabis and Prescription Opioid Policies on Chronic Pain, Opioid Prescribing, and Opioid OverdoseR01DA045872 · NIDA · NEW YORK UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF MEDICINE · PI CERDA, MAGDALENA, MARTINS, SILVIA SABOIA · 2019 to 2023
$4.3M
Preventing HIV Transmission by Recently-Infected Drug UsersDP1DA034989 · NIDA · NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT AND RESEARCH INSTITUTES, INC. · PI FRIEDMAN, SAMUEL R · 2012 to 2016
$3.8M
The Staying Safe Intervention: Preventing HCV among Young Opioid InjectorsR01DA041501 · NIDA · NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT AND RESEARCH INSTITUTES, INC. · PI GUARINO, HONORIA M, MATEU-GELABERT, PEDRO · 2016 to 2020
$3.6M
Accessible Care Intervention for Engaging People who Inject Illicit Drugs (PWID) in Hepatitis C CareR01DA041298 · NIDA · NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT AND RESEARCH INSTITUTES, INC. · PI MARKS, KRISTEN M, MATEU-GELABERT, PEDRO · 2016 to 2020
$2.8M
Developing measures to study how structural interventions may affect HIV riskR01DA031597 · NIDA · NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT AND RESEARCH INSTITUTES, INC. · PI FRIEDMAN, SAMUEL R, POUGET, ENRIQUE RODRIGUEZ · 2011 to 2015
$2.1M
NCCDPHP CDC HHS U48 DP005008NIDA NIH HHS DP1 DA034989NIDA NIH HHS P30 DA011041NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA031597NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA041298NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA041501NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA045872NIDA NIH HHS T32 DA007233
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Big Events are periods during which abnormal large-scale events like war, economic collapse, revolts, or pandemics disrupt daily life and expectations about the future. They can lead to rapid change in health-related norms, beliefs, social networks and behavioural practices. The world is undergoing such Big Events through the interaction of COVID-19, a large economic downturn, massive social unrest in many countries, and ever-worsening effects of global climate change. Previous research, mainly on HIV/AIDS, suggests that the health effects of Big Events can be profound, but are contingent: Sometimes Big Events led to enormous outbreaks of HIV and associated diseases and conditions such as injection drug use, sex trading, and tuberculosis, but in other circumstances, Big Events did not do so. This paper discusses and presents hypotheses about pathways through which the current Big Events might lead to better or worse short and long term outcomes for various health conditions and diseases; considers how pre-existing societal conditions and changing 'pathway' variables can influence the impact of Big Events; discusses how to measure these pathways; and suggests ways in which research and surveillance might be conducted to improve human capacity to prevent or mitigate the effects of Big Events on human health.

Indexed as

COVID-19Global HealthPandemicsHumansSocial TheoryComplex emergenciescoronavirusdrug useHIVsocial movements

Identifiers

PMID33843462
PMCPMC8338763
OpenAlexW3154471747

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.