Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33839100›Full record

ArticleGastroenterology2021

Gene-Specific Variation in Colorectal Cancer Surveillance Strategies for Lynch Syndrome.

Fay Kastrinos, Myles A Ingram, Elisabeth R Silver, Aaron Oh, Monika Laszkowska, Anil K Rustgi, Chin Hur

Open access · greenAbstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in Gastroenterology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
3.5field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 38 citations in OpenAlex.

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  9. Cost-Effectiveness of Lynch Syndrome Identification Strategies in Individuals With Colorectal Cancer and the Impact on At-Risk Relatives.Clinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Fay KastrinosHerbert Irving Comprehensive Cancer Center, Columbia University Irving Medical Center, New York, New York; Division of Digestive and Liver Diseases, Columbia University Irving Medical Cancer and Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons, New York, New York. Electronic address: Fk18@columbia.edu.
Myles A IngramDivision of General Medicine, Columbia University Irving Medical Cancer and Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons, New York, New York.
Elisabeth R SilverDivision of General Medicine, Columbia University Irving Medical Cancer and Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons, New York, New York.
Aaron OhDivision of General Medicine, Columbia University Irving Medical Cancer and Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons, New York, New York.
Monika LaszkowskaHerbert Irving Comprehensive Cancer Center, Columbia University Irving Medical Center, New York, New York; Division of Digestive and Liver Diseases, Columbia University Irving Medical Cancer and Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons, New York, New York.
Anil K RustgiHerbert Irving Comprehensive Cancer Center, Columbia University Irving Medical Center, New York, New York; Division of Digestive and Liver Diseases, Columbia University Irving Medical Cancer and Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons, New York, New York.
Chin HurHerbert Irving Comprehensive Cancer Center, Columbia University Irving Medical Center, New York, New York; Division of Digestive and Liver Diseases, Columbia University Irving Medical Cancer and Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons, New York, New York; Division of General Medicine, Columbia University Irving Medical Cancer and Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons, New York, New York.
Columbia University Irving Medical Center · USColumbia University · US

Funding

FITting noninvasive testing into Lynch syndrome colorectal cancer surveillance: a multicenter, prospective trialR01CA287257 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO · PI Fay Kastrinos, Sonia Kupfer · 2024 to 2026
$3.4M
Optimal Colorectal Cancer Surveillance Strategy for Lynch Syndrome by GenotypeR01CA257333 · NCI · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI HUR, CHIN, KASTRINOS, FAY · 2021 to 2025
$2.0M
NCI NIH HHS R01 CA257333NCI NIH HHS R01 CA287257
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimsLynch syndrome is associated with pathogenic variants in 4 mismatch repair (MMR) genes that increase lifetime risk of colorectal cancer. Guidelines recommend intensive colorectal cancer surveillance with colonoscopy every 1-2 years starting at age 25 years for all carriers of Lynch syndrome-associated variants, regardless of gene product. We constructed a simulation model to analyze the effects of different ages of colonoscopy initiation and surveillance intervals for each MMR gene (MLH1, MSH2, MSH6, and PMS2) on colorectal cancer incidence and mortality, quality-adjusted life-years, and cost.

methodsUsing published literature, we developed a Markov simulation model of Lynch syndrome progression for patients with each MMR variant. The model simulated clinical trials of Lynch syndrome carriers, varying age of colonoscopy initiation (5-year increments from 25-40 years), and surveillance intervals (1-5 years). We assessed the optimal strategy for each gene, defined as the strategy with the highest quality-adjusted life-years and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio below a $100,000 willingness-to-pay threshold.

resultsOptimal surveillance for patients with pathogenic variants in the MLH1 and MSH2 genes was colonoscopy starting at age 25 years, with 1- to 2-year surveillance intervals. Initiating colonoscopy at age 35 and 40 years, with 3-year intervals, was cost-effective for patients with pathogenic variants in MSH6 or PMS2, respectively.

conclusionsWe developed a simulation model to select optimal surveillance starting ages and intervals for patients with Lynch syndrome based on MMR variant. The model supports recommendations for intensive surveillance of patients with Lynch syndrome-associated variants in MLH1 or MSH2. However, for patients with Lynch syndrome-associated variants of MSH6 or PMS2, later initiation of surveillance at 35 and 40 years, respectively, and at 3-year intervals, can be considered.

Indexed as

ColonoscopyDecision Support TechniquesDNA Mismatch RepairEarly Detection of CancerGenetic VariationAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsBiomarkers, TumorClinical Decision-MakingColorectal Neoplasms, Hereditary NonpolyposisComputer SimulationCost-Benefit AnalysisDNA-Binding ProteinsFemaleBiomarkers, TumorDNA-Binding ProteinsG-T mismatch-binding proteinMismatch Repair Endonuclease PMS2MLH1 protein, humanMSH2 protein, humanMutL Protein Homolog 1MutS Homolog 2 ProteinPMS2 protein, humanColorectal CancerCost-EffectivenessGenetic Cancer SyndromesSurveillance

Identifiers

PMID33839100
PMCPMC9330543
OpenAlexW3152143367

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.