Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33838318›Full record

ArticleTravel medicine and infectious disease

Sustainable border control policy in the COVID-19 pandemic: A math modeling study.

Zhen Zhu, Enzo Weber, Till Strohsal, Duaa Serhan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Travel medicine and infectious disease. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
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  5. Can infectious modelling be applicable globally - lessons from COVID 19.Current opinion in environmental science & health · 2022
    Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Reopening International Borders without Quarantine: Contact Tracing Integrated Policy against COVID-19.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
    Article
  13. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Zhen ZhuWrightway Aviation Technologies Co., Shanghai, China.
Enzo WeberInstitute for Employment Research Nuernberg and University of Regensburg, Universitätsstraße 31, 93053, Regensburg, Germany.
Till StrohsalFreie Universität Berlin, Boltzmannstr. 20, 14195, Berlin, Germany. Electronic address: till.strohsal@fu-berlin.de.
Duaa SerhanDepartment of Systems Science and Industrial Engineering, State University of New York at Binghamton, Binghamton, NY 13902, United States.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundImported COVID-19 cases, if unchecked, can jeopardize the effort of domestic containment. We aim to find out what sustainable border control options for different entities (e.g., countries, states) exist during the reopening phases, given their own choice of domestic control measures.

methodsWe propose a SUIHR model, which has built-in imported risk and (1-tier) contact tracing to study the cross-border spreading and control of COVID-19. Under plausible parameter assumptions, we examine the effectiveness of border control policies, in combination with internal measures, to confine the virus and avoid reverting back to more restrictive life styles again.

resultsWhen the basic reproduction number R

conclusionsExtremely strict border control in entities, where domestic spreading is currently eliminated (e.g., China), is justifiable. However such harsh measure are not necessary for other places. Entities successfully confining the virus by internal measures can open up to similar entities without additional border controls so long as the imported risk stays non-increasing. Opening the borders to entities lacking sufficient internal control of the virus should be exercised in combination with pre-departure screening and tests upon arrival.

Indexed as

Public PolicyTravelBasic Reproduction NumberCommunicable Disease ControlCommunicable Diseases, ImportedContact TracingCOVID-19Disease OutbreaksGovernmentHumansModels, TheoreticalPandemicsQuarantineSARS-CoV-2Border controlContract tracingCoronavirusCovid-19QuarantineTravel restriction

Identifiers

PMID33838318
PMCPMC8025603

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.