Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33837102›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2021

Are medical record front page data suitable for risk adjustment in hospital performance measurement? Development and validation of a risk model of in-hospital mortality after acute myocardial infarction.

Chaoqun Wu, Danwei Zhang, Xueke Bai, Tiannan Zhou, Yongfei Wang, Zhenqiu Lin, Guangda He, Xi Li, China PEACE Collaborative Group

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Chaoqun WuNational Clinical Research Center of Cardiovascular Diseases, NHC Key Laboratory of Clinical Research for Cardiovascular Medications, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Beijing, China.
Danwei ZhangNational Clinical Research Center of Cardiovascular Diseases, NHC Key Laboratory of Clinical Research for Cardiovascular Medications, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Beijing, China.
Xueke BaiNational Clinical Research Center of Cardiovascular Diseases, NHC Key Laboratory of Clinical Research for Cardiovascular Medications, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Beijing, China.
Tiannan ZhouCenter for Outcomes Research and Evaluation, Yale-New Haven Health System, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
Yongfei WangSection of Cardiovascular Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
Zhenqiu LinCenter for Outcomes Research and Evaluation, Yale-New Haven Health System, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
Guangda HeNational Clinical Research Center of Cardiovascular Diseases, NHC Key Laboratory of Clinical Research for Cardiovascular Medications, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Beijing, China.
Xi LiNational Clinical Research Center of Cardiovascular Diseases, NHC Key Laboratory of Clinical Research for Cardiovascular Medications, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Beijing, China xi.li@fwoxford.org.ORCID 0000-0003-2249-688X
China PEACE Collaborative Group

Funding

NIA Short Term Research Training: Students in Health Professional SchoolsT35AG049685 · NIA · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI Sarwat I Chaudhry, Terri R. Fried · 2016 to 2026
$804k
NIA NIH HHS T35 AG049685
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo develop a model of in-hospital mortality using medical record front page (MRFP) data and assess its validity in case-mix standardisation by comparison with a model developed using the complete medical record data.

designA nationally representative retrospective study.

settingRepresentative hospitals in China, covering 161 hospitals in modelling cohort and 156 hospitals in validation cohort.

participantsRepresentative patients admitted for acute myocardial infarction. 8370 patients in modelling cohort and 9704 patients in validation cohort. PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURES: In-hospital mortality, which was defined explicitly as death that occurred during hospitalisation, and the hospital-level risk standardised mortality rate (RSMR).

resultsA total of 14 variables were included in the model predicting in-hospital mortality based on MRFP data, with the area under receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.78 among modelling cohort and 0.79 among validation cohort. The median of absolute difference between the hospital RSMR predicted by hierarchical generalised linear models established based on MRFP data and complete medical record data, which was built as 'reference model', was 0.08% (10th and 90th percentiles: -1.8% and 1.6%). In the regression model comparing the RSMR between two models, the slope and intercept of the regression equation is 0.90 and 0.007 in modelling cohort, while 0.85 and 0.010 in validation cohort, which indicated that the evaluation capability from two models were very similar.

conclusionsThe models based on MRFP data showed good discrimination and calibration capability, as well as similar risk prediction effect in comparison with the model based on complete medical record data, which proved that MRFP data could be suitable for risk adjustment in hospital performance measurement.

Indexed as

Myocardial InfarctionRisk AdjustmentChinaHospital MortalityHospitalsHumansMedical RecordsRetrospective Studieshealth informaticsmyocardial infarctionquality in health care

Identifiers

PMID33837102
PMCPMC8043007

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.