Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33836647›Full record

ArticleBMC gastroenterology2021

Is mass screening for coeliac disease a wise use of resources? A health economic evaluation.

Fredrik Norström, Anna Myléus, Katrina Nordyke, Annelie Carlsson, Lotta Högberg, Olof Sandström, Lars Stenhammar, Anneli Ivarsson, Lars Lindholm

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC gastroenterology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
1.8field-weighted citation impact, top 15% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 23 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Review
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Population level screening for celiac disease: is now the time?Current opinion in gastroenterology · 2023
    Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Fredrik NorströmDepartment of Epidemiology and Global Health, Umeå University, 901 87, Umeå, Sweden. fredrik.norstrom@umu.se.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0457-2175
Anna MyléusDepartment of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Family Medicine, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
Katrina NordykeDepartment of Epidemiology and Global Health, Umeå University, 901 87, Umeå, Sweden.
Annelie CarlssonDepartment of Pediatrics, Clinical Sciences, Skåne University Hospital, Lund University, Lund, Sweden.
Lotta HögbergDepartment of Paediatrics, Norrköping Hospital, Linköping University, Norrköping, Sweden.
Olof SandströmDepartment of Epidemiology and Global Health, Umeå University, 901 87, Umeå, Sweden.
Lars StenhammarDepartment of Paediatrics, Norrköping Hospital, Linköping University, Norrköping, Sweden.
Anneli IvarssonDepartment of Epidemiology and Global Health, Umeå University, 901 87, Umeå, Sweden.
Lars LindholmDepartment of Epidemiology and Global Health, Umeå University, 901 87, Umeå, Sweden.
Umeå University · SELinköping University · SELund University · SE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLiving with undiagnosed symptomatic coeliac disease is connected with deteriorated health, and persons with coeliac disease often wait a long time for their diagnosis. A mass screening would lower the delay, but its cost-effectiveness is still unclear. Our aim was to determine the cost-effectiveness of a coeliac disease mass screening at 12 years of age, taking a life course perspective on future benefits and drawbacks.

methodsThe cost-effectiveness was derived as cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) using a Markov model. As a basis for our assumptions, we mainly used information from the Exploring the Iceberg of Celiacs in Sweden (ETICS) study, a school-based screening conducted in 2005/2006 and 2009/2010, where 13,279 12-year-old children participated and 240 were diagnosed with coeliac disease, and a study involving members of the Swedish Coeliac Association with 1031 adult participants.

resultsThe cost for coeliac disease screening was 40,105 Euro per gained QALY. Sensitivity analyses support screening based on high compliance to a gluten-free diet, rapid progression from symptom-free coeliac disease to coeliac disease with symptoms, long delay from celiac disease with symptoms to diagnosis, and a low QALY score for undiagnosed coeliac disease cases.

conclusionsA coeliac disease mass screening is cost-effective based on the commonly used threshold of 50,000 Euro per gained QALY. However, this is based on many assumptions, especially regarding the natural history of coeliac disease and the effects on long-term health for individuals with coeliac disease still eating gluten.

Indexed as

Celiac DiseaseAdultChildCost-Benefit AnalysisDiet, Gluten-FreeHumansMass ScreeningQuality-Adjusted Life YearsSwedenAdolescentCoeliac diseaseComplianceCost-effectivenessLong delayQALYScreening

Identifiers

PMID33836647
PMCPMC8034082
OpenAlexW3147230021

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.